Christine Tedijanto

TL;DR: Using existing data to build a deterministic model of multiyear interactions between existing coronaviruses, with a focus on the United States, is used to project the potential epidemic dynamics and pressures on critical care capacity over the next 5 years and projected that recurrent wintertime outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 will probably occur after the initial, most severe pandemic wave.

TL;DR: It is projected that recurrent wintertime outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 will probably occur after an initial pandemic wave and the full range of plausible transmission scenarios are summarized.

TL;DR: The purpose of this document is to summarize challenges of estimation of the effective reproductive number Rt, illustrate them with examples from synthetic data, and, where possible, make recommendations.

TL;DR: It is assessed that one-time interventions will be insufficient to maintain COVID-19 prevalence within the critical care capacity of the United States and these measures may be necessary into 2022.

TL;DR: It is estimated that pneumococcal conjugate vaccination programs result in nearly the same proportional reduction in total antibiotic exposures of Streptococcus pneumoniae, Staphylococcus aureus, and Escherichia coli, despite the latter two organisms not being targeted by the vaccine.