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Convex Analysisの二,三の進展について

https://polymer.bu.edu/hes/cox79py538.pdf

Option pricing: A simplified approach☆

Convergence of Probability Measures. By P. Billingsley. Chichester, Sussex, Wiley, 1968. xii, 253 p. 9 1/4“. 117s.

Convergence of Probability Measures

This book is intended as an introduction to optimal stochastic control for continuous time Markov processes and to the theory of viscosity solutions. The authors approach stochastic control problems by the method of dynamic programming. The text provides an introduction to dynamic programming for deterministic optimal control problems, as well as to the corresponding theory of viscosity solutions. A new Chapter X gives an introduction to the role of stochastic optimal control in portfolio optimization and in pricing derivatives in incomplete markets. Chapter VI of the First Edition has been completely rewritten, to emphasize the relationships between logarithmic transformations and risk sensitivity. A new Chapter XI gives a concise introduction to two-controller, zero-sum differential games. Also covered are controlled Markov diffusions and viscosity solutions of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations. The authors have tried, through illustrative examples and selective material, to connect stochastic control theory with other mathematical areas (e.g. large deviations theory) and with applications to engineering, physics, management, and finance. In this Second Edition, new material on applications to mathematical finance has been added. Concise introductions to risk-sensitive control theory, nonlinear H-infinity control and differential games are also included.

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Controlled Markov processes and viscosity solutions

The author's preface gives an outline: "This book is about weakconvergence methods in metric spaces, with applications sufficient to show their power and utility. The Introduction motivates the definitions and indicates how the theory will yield solutions to problems arising outside it. Chapter 1 sets out the basic general theorems, which are then specialized in Chapter 2 to the space C[0, l ] of continuous functions on the unit interval and in Chapter 3 to the space D [0, 1 ] of functions with discontinuities of the first kind. The results of the first three chapters are used in Chapter 4 to derive a variety of limit theorems for dependent sequences of random variables. " The book develops and expands on Donsker's 1951 and 1952 papers on the invariance principle and empirical distributions. The basic random variables remain real-valued although, of course, measures on C[0, l ] and D[0, l ] are vitally used. Within this framework, there are various possibilities for a different and apparently better treatment of the material. More of the general theory of weak convergence of probabilities on separable metric spaces would be useful. Metrizability of the convergence is not brought up until late in the Appendix. The close relation of the Prokhorov metric and a metric for convergence in probability is (hence) not mentioned (see V. Strassen, Ann. Math. Statist. 36 (1965), 423-439; the reviewer, ibid. 39 (1968), 1563-1572). This relation would illuminate and organize such results as Theorems 4.1, 4.2 and 4.4 which give isolated, ad hoc connections between weak convergence of measures and nearness in probability. In the middle of p. 16, it should be noted that C*(S) consists of signed measures which need only be finitely additive if 5 is not compact. On p. 239, where the author twice speaks of separable subsets having nonmeasurable cardinal, he means "discrete" rather than "separable." Theorem 1.4 is Ulam's theorem that a Borel probability on a complete separable metric space is tight. Theorem 1 of Appendix 3 weakens completeness to topological completeness. After mentioning that probabilities on the rationals are tight, the author says it is an

Convergence of probability measures

For a vast array of business processes, with functions ranging from production and distribution to customer service and product development, managers strive to create coherent system behavior through intelligent design and control. An ideal theory of stochastic networks would describe the potential for such coherence and characterize the control strategies that achieve it. Given the broad spectrum of potential applications to be addressed in the theory, what is its proper mathematical setting? The general notion of a stochastic processing network, developed in earlier work and discussed more completely here, is attractive in that regard. It extends in a natural way the general linear model of an operating enterprise that was developed about fifty years ago by mathematicians and economists working in the area that T. C. Koopmans called “activity analysis.”

Stochastic Networks and Activity Analysis

Consider a single-server queue with service times distributed as a general random variable S and with non-stationary Poisson input. It is assumed that the arrival rate function λ (·) is periodic with average value λ and that ρ = λE ( S ) W = { W 1 , W 2 , · ··} and the server load (or virtual waiting-time process) Z = { Z ( t ), t ≧ 0}. The asymptotic distributions associated with Z and W are shown to be related in various ways. In particular, we extend to the case of periodic Poisson input a well-known formula (due to Takacs) relating the limiting virtual and actual waiting-time distributions of a GI / G /1 queue.

Limit Theorems for Periodic Queues

The subject of this paper is networks of queues with an infinite number of servers at each node in the system. Our purpose is to point out that independent motions of customers in the system, which are characteristic of infinite-server networks, lead in a simple way to time-dependent distributions of state, and thence to steady-state distributions; moreover, these steady-state distributions often exhibit an invariance with regard to distributions of service in the network. We consider closed systems in which a fixed and finite number of customers circulate through the network and no external arrivals or departures are permitted, and open systems in which customers originate from an external source according to a Poisson process, possibly non-homogeneous, and each customer eventually leaves the system.

A note on networks of infinite-server queues

We consider a nonpreemptive priority queue with a finite number of priority classes, Poisson arrival processes, and general service time distributions. It is not required that the system be stable or even that the mean service times be finite. The economic framework is linear, consisting of a holding cost per unit time and fixed service reward for each customer class. Future costs and rewards are continuously discounted with a positive interest rate. Allowing general initial queue sizes, we develop an expression for the expected present value of rewards received minus costs incurred over an infinite horizon. From this we obtain the Laplace transform of the time-dependent expected queue length for each customer class.

A Priority Queue with Discounted Linear Costs

Let Z be a two-dimensional Brownian motion confined to the non-negative quadrant by oblique reflection at the boundary. Such processes arise in applied probability as diffusion approximations for two-station queueing networks. The parameters of Z are a drift vector, a covariance matrix, and a "direction of reflection" for each of the quadrant's two boundary rays. Necessary and sufficient conditions are known for Z to be a positive recurrent semimartingale, and they are the only restrictions imposed on the process data in our study. Under those assumptions, a large deviations principle (LDP) is conjectured for the stationary distribution of Z, and we recapitulate the cases for which it has been rigorously justified. For sufficiently regular sets B, the LDP says that the stationary probability of xB decays exponentially as x??, and the asymptotic decay rate is the minimum value achieved by a certain function I(?) over the set B. Avram, Dai and Hasenbein (Queueing Syst.: Theory Appl. 37, 259---289, 2001) provided a complete and explicit solution for the large deviations rate function I(?). In this paper we re-express their solution in a simplified form, showing along the way that the computation of I(?) reduces to a relatively simple problem of least-cost travel between a point and a line.

J. Michael Harrison

Papers

Stochastic Networks and Activity Analysis

Limit Theorems for Periodic Queues

A note on networks of infinite-server queues

A Priority Queue with Discounted Linear Costs

Reflected Brownian motion in the quadrant: tail behavior of the stationary distribution