In December 2019, a novel coronavirus, called COVID-19, was discovered in Wuhan, China, and has spread to different cities in China as well as to 24 other countries. The number of confirmed cases is increasing daily and reached 34,598 on 8 February 2020. In the current study, we present a new forecasting model to estimate and forecast the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the upcoming ten days based on the previously confirmed cases recorded in China. The proposed model is an improved adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) using an enhanced flower pollination algorithm (FPA) by using the salp swarm algorithm (SSA). In general, SSA is employed to improve FPA to avoid its drawbacks (i.e., getting trapped at the local optima). The main idea of the proposed model, called FPASSA-ANFIS, is to improve the performance of ANFIS by determining the parameters of ANFIS using FPASSA. The FPASSA-ANFIS model is evaluated using the World Health Organization (WHO) official data of the outbreak of the COVID-19 to forecast the confirmed cases of the upcoming ten days. More so, the FPASSA-ANFIS model is compared to several existing models, and it showed better performance in terms of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Root Mean Squared Relative Error (RMSRE), Root Mean Squared Relative Error (RMSRE), coefficient of determination ( R 2 ), and computing time. Furthermore, we tested the proposed model using two different datasets of weekly influenza confirmed cases in two countries, namely the USA and China. The outcomes also showed good performances.

https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/9/3/674/pdf

Optimization method for forecasting confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China

Environmental impacts of solar energy systems: A review.

An efficient salp swarm-inspired algorithm for parameters identification of photovoltaic cell models

Teaching–learning–based artificial bee colony for solar photovoltaic parameter estimation

A performance-guided JAYA algorithm for parameters identification of photovoltaic cell and module

In recent years solar energy has received worldwide attention in the field of renewable energy systems Among the various research thrusts in solar PV, the most proverbial area is extracting maximum power from solar PV system Application dof Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) for extracting maximum power is very much appreciated and holds the key in developing efficient solar PV system In this paper, a state of the art review on various maximum power point techniques for solar PV systems covering timeworn conventional methods and latest soft computing algorithms is presented To date critical analysis on each of the method in terms of (1) tracking speed, (2) algorithm complexity, (3) Dynamic tracking under partial shading and (4) hardware implementation is not been carried out In this regard the authors have attempted to compile a comprehensive review on various solar PV MPPT techniques based on the above criteria Further, it is envisaged that the information presented in this review paper will be a valuable gathering of information for practicing engineers as well as for new researchers

A comprehensive review on solar PV maximum power point tracking techniques

For large photovoltaic power generation plants, number of panels are interconnected in series and parallel to form a photovoltaic (PV) array. In this configuration, partial shade will result in decrease in power output and introduce multiple peaks in the P–V curve. As a consequence, the modules in the array will deliver different row currents. Therefore, to maximize the power extraction from PV array, the panels need to be reconfigured for row current difference minimization. Row current minimization via Su Do Ku game theory do physical relocation of panels may cause laborious work and lengthy interconnecting ties. Hence, in this paper, an alternative to physical relocation based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) connected modules is proposed. In this method, the physical location of the modules remains unchanged, while its electrical connections are altered. Extensive simulations with different shade patterns are carried out and thorough analysis with the help of I–V , P–V curves is carried out to support the usefulness of the proposed method. The effectiveness of proposed PSO technique is evaluated via performance analysis based on energy saving and income generation. Further, a comprehensive comparison of various electrical array reconfiguration based is performed at the last to examine the suitability of proposed array reconfiguration method.

Particle Swarm Optimization Based Solar PV Array Reconfiguration of the Maximum Power Extraction Under Partial Shading Conditions

A new hybrid bee pollinator flower pollination algorithm for solar PV parameter estimation

To maximize solar photovoltaic (PV) output under dynamic weather conditions, maximum power point tracking (MPPT) controllers are incorporated in solar PV systems. However, the occurrence of multiple peaks due to partial shading adds complexity to the tracking process. Even though conventional and soft computing techniques are widely used to solve MPPT problem, conventional methods exhibit limited performance due to fixed step size, whereas soft computing techniques are restricted by insufficient randomness after reaching the vicinity of maximum power. Hence, in this paper, a new flower pollination algorithm (FPA) with the ability to reach global peak is proposed. Optimization process in FPA method performs global and local search in single stage and it is a key tool for its success in MPPT application. The ruggedness of the algorithm is tested with zero, weak, and strong shade pattern. Further, comprehensive performance estimation via simulation and hardware are carried out for FPA method and are quantified with conventional perturb and observe and particle swarm optimization (PSO) methods. Results obtained with FPA method show superiority in energy saving and proved to be economical.

J. Prasanth Ram

Papers

A comprehensive review on solar PV maximum power point tracking techniques

Particle Swarm Optimization Based Solar PV Array Reconfiguration of the Maximum Power Extraction Under Partial Shading Conditions

A new hybrid bee pollinator flower pollination algorithm for solar PV parameter estimation

A Novel Flower Pollination Based Global Maximum Power Point Method for Solar Maximum Power Point Tracking

Parameter extraction of two diode solar PV model using Fireworks algorithm