Jutta Thielen

TL;DR: The European Flood Alert System (EFAS) as discussed by the authors aims at increasing preparedness for floods in transnational European river basins by providing local water authorities with medium-range and probabilistic flood forecasting information 3 to 10 days in advance.

TL;DR: The Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) as mentioned in this paper is based on distributed hydrological simulation of numerical ensemble weather predictions with global coverage, where streamflow forecasts are compared statistically to climatological simulations to detect probabilistic exceedance of warning thresholds.

TL;DR: Two years of existing operational EFAS forecasts are statistically assessed and the skill ofEFAS forecasts is analysed with several skill scores, which shows the benefit of incorporating past forecasts in the probability analysis, for medium-range forecasts, which effectively increases theskill of the forecasts.

TL;DR: In this paper, a review of current European operational warning systems for water-related hazards induced by severe weather conditions is presented, which includes systems for detecting surface water flooding, flash floods, debris flows, mud flows, rainfall-induced landslides, river floods and coastal floods.

TL;DR: In this article, a European Flood Forecasting System (EFFS) was developed to determine what flood forecast skill can be achieved for given basins, meteorological events and prediction products, and the output from the system is a probabilistic assessment of n−day ahead discharge exceedence risk (where n < 10) for the whole of Europe at 5 km resolution which may then be updated as the forecast lead time reduces.