Mark A. Liniger

TL;DR: It is found that an event like that of summer 2003 is statistically extremely unlikely, even when the observed warming is taken into account, and it is proposed that a regime with an increased variability of temperatures (in addition to increases in mean temperature) may be able to account for summer 2003.

TL;DR: The results indicate that for many applications equal weighting may be the safer and more transparent way to combine models, and also within the presented framework eliminating models from an ensemble can be justified if they are known to lack key mechanisms that are indispensable for meaningful climate projections.

TL;DR: It turns out that multi-model ensembles can indeed locally outperform a ‘best-model’ approach, but only if the single-modelEnsembles are overconfident, and it seems that simple ensemble inflation methods cannot yield the same skill improvement.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated the life cycle of the winter storm "Lothar" (24-26 December 1999) with the aid of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts analysis data and mesoscale model simulations.

TL;DR: This article reported that the European averaged autumn and winter surface air temperature (SAT) timeseries indicate that the autumn 2006 and winter 2007 were extremely likely (>95%) the warmest for more than 500 years.