Molly Luginbuhl

TL;DR: In this article, the authors use the idea of natural time to propose a new method for characterizing the seismic risk to the world's major cities at risk of earthquakes, which is the computation of the current state of seismic hazard in a defined geographic region.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors apply the nowcast approach to the practical development of methods to estimate the current state of risk for dozens of the world's seismically exposed megacities, defined as cities having populations of over 1.

TL;DR: Nowcasting is a new method of statistically classifying seismicity and seismic risk (Rundle et al 2016) as mentioned in this paper, which is applied to the induced seismicity at the Geysers geothermal region in California and the induced earthquakes due to fluid injection in Oklahoma.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors extend the nowcasting method to great global earthquakes of magnitudes as large as M9 by defining the surrounding large region as the entire earth and then analyzing the current hazard of a number of selected “local” regions and rank the regions in terms of current risk of great earthquakes.