Naomi H. Naik

TL;DR: There is a broad consensus among climate models that this region will dry in the 21st century and that the transition to a more arid climate should already be under way, and the levels of aridity of the recent multiyear drought or the Dust Bowl and the 1950s droughts will become the new climatology of the American Southwest within a time frame of years to decades.

TL;DR: This paper showed that there is a broad consensus among climate models that this region will dry in the 21st century and that the transition to a more arid climate should already be under way.

TL;DR: The mechanisms of changes in the large-scale hydrological cycle projected by 15 models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 and used for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fourth Assessment Report are analyzed by computing differences between 2046 and 2065 and 1961 and 2000.

TL;DR: The causes of persistent droughts and wet periods over western North America are examined in model simulations of the period from 1856 to 2000 as discussed by the authors, using either global sea surface temperature data as a lower boundary condition or observed data in just the tropical Pacific and computed the surface ocean temperature elsewhere with a simple ocean model.

TL;DR: In this article, it was shown that the difference in winter temperatures across the North Atlantic, and the difference between western Europe and western North America, is essentially the same in these models whether or not the movement of heat by the ocean is accounted for.