Showing papers by "Owen B. Toon published in 1982"

Stratospheric aerosols: Observation and theory

Abstract: Important chemical and physical roles of aerosols are discussed, and properties of stratospheric aerosols as revealed by experimental data are described. In situ measurements obtained by mechanical collection and scattered-light detection yield the overall size distribution of the aerosols, and analyses of preserved aerosol precursor gases by wet chemical, cryogenic and spectroscopic techniques indicate the photochemical sources of particle mass. Aerosol chemical reactions including those of gaseous precursors, those in aqueous solution, and those on particle surfaces are discussed, in addition to aerosol microphysical processes such as nucleation, condensation/evaporation, coagulation and sedimentation. Models of aerosols incorporating such chemical and physical processes are presented, and simulations are shown to agree with measurements. Estimates are presented for the potential aerosol changes due to emission of particles and gases by aerospace operations and industrial consumption of fossil fuels, and it is demonstrated that although the climatic effects of existing levels of stratospheric aerosol pollution are negligible, potential increases in those levels might pose a future threat.

Evolution of an impact-generated dust cloud and its effects on the atmosphere

Abstract: A simulation is carried out of the evolution of an optically thick dust cloud in the earth's atmosphere, and calculations are made of the effects that such a dust cloud would have on the amount of visible light reaching the surface and the temperature at the earth's surface. It is found that large quantities of dust remain in the atmosphere for periods of only three to six months. This duration is fixed by the physical processes of coagulation; these cause the rapid formation of micron-sized particles and sedimentation that quickly removes the particles from the atmosphere. The duration of the event is found to be nearly independent of the initial altitude, initial particle size, initial mass, atmospheric vertical diffusive mixing rate, and rainout rate. It depends to a slight extent on the particle density and the probability that colliding particles stick together to form a larger particle. In addition, the duration is limited by the rate at which the debris spreads from the initial impact site. A doubling code is used to calculate the visible radiative transfer in the dust clouds. It is found that light levels are too low for vision for one to six months and too low for photosynthesis for two months to one year.

Stratospheric Aerosols and Climate

Abstract: Explosive volcanic eruptions inject volcanic ash and sulfur dioxide gas into the stratosphere. The ash particles quickly fall out of the stratosphere due to their large size. The sulfur dioxide gas is photochemically converted into sulfuric acid which condenses to form submicron sized particles. These sulfuric acid particles remain in the stratosphere for a few years. The particles scatter and absorb sunlight and they scatter, absorb, and emit infrared radiation. The Earth’s climate is controlled by an energy balance between sunlight entering the atmosphere and terrestrial thermal-infrared radiation escaping to space. The stratospheric particles upset this balance and thereby may alter the climate.

Space shuttle ice nuclei

Abstract: Estimates are made showing that, as a consequence of rocket activity in the earth's upper atmosphere in the Shuttle era, average ice nuclei concentrations in the upper atmosphere could increase by a factor of two, and that an aluminum dust layer weighing up to 1000 tons might eventually form in the lower atmosphere. The concentrations of Space Shuttle ice nuclei (SSIN) in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere were estimated by taking into account the composition of the particles, the extent of surface poisoning, and the size of the particles. Calculated stratospheric size distributions at 20 km with Space Shuttle particulate injection, calculated SSIN concentrations at 10 and 20 km altitude corresponding to different water vapor/ice supersaturations, and predicted SSIN concentrations in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere are shown.

Volcanoes and climate

Abstract: The evidence that volcanic eruptions affect climate is reviewed. Single explosive volcanic eruptions cool the surface by about 0.3 C and warm the stratosphere by several degrees. Although these changes are of small magnitude, there have been several years in which these hemispheric average temperature changes were accompanied by severely abnormal weather. An example is 1816, the "year without summer" which followed the 1815 eruption of Tambora. In addition to statistical correlations between volcanoes and climate, a good theoretical understanding exists. The magnitude of the climatic changes anticipated following volcanic explosions agrees well with the observations. Volcanoes affect climate because volcanic particles in the atmosphere upset the balance between solar energy absorbed by the Earth and infrared energy emitted by the Earth. These interactions can be observed. The most important ejecta from volcanoes is not volcanic ash but sulfur dioxide which converts into sulfuric acid droplets in the stratosphere. For an eruption with its explosive magnitude, Mount St. Helens injected surprisingly little sulfur into the stratosphere. The amount of sulfuric acid formed is much smaller than that observed following significant eruptions and is too small to create major climatic shifts. However, the Mount St. Helens eruption has provided an opportunity to measure many properties of volcanic debris not previously measured and has therefore been of significant value in improving our knowledge of the relations between volcanic activity and climate.

A study of mesospheric rocket contrails and clouds produced by liquid-fueled rockets

Abstract: Changes in the atmospheric composition, particularly through the condensation of rocket vehicle exhaust, caused by the flights of 400 heavy lift launch vehicles (HLLV) to carry crews and materials into space to build a satellite solar power system (SPS) were examined. Attention was given to the formation of mesospheric contrails and clouds. A one-dimensional model was used to formulate the photochemistry and vertical transport of water vapor, its nucleation into an ice cloud, and the microphysical development of the cloud. Considering one HLLV launch per day for a decade, it is projected that the upper atmosphere water vapor concentration would be increased by 10-20%, thereby augmenting the size and opacity of natural noctilucent clouds by 50%. No climatological consequences are foreseen from the clouds, although spectacular noctiluminescent cloud displays are thought to be possible.

Simulation studies of the physical and chemical processes occurring in the stratospheric clouds of the Mount St. Helens eruptions of May and June 1980

Abstract: The large and diverse set of observational data collected in the high-altitude clouds of May 18, May 25, and June 13, 1980 was organized and analyzed for trends which reveal the processes at work. The data were used to guide and constrain model simulations of the volcanic eruptions. A comprehensive one-dimensional model of stratospheric sulfate aerosols, sulfur precursor gases, and volcanic ash and dust particles is utilized which accounts for homogeneous and heterogeneous chemistry in the clouds, aerosol nucleation and growth, and cloud expansion. Computational results are given for the time histories of the gaseous species concentrations, sulfate aerosol size dispersions, and ash burdens in the eruption clouds. The long-term buildup of stratospheric aerosols in the Northern Hemisphere and the persistent effects of injected chlorine and water vapor on ozone are discussed. It is concluded that SO2, water vapor, and ash are the most important substances injected by the volcano into the stratosphere, with respect to both the widespread effects on composition and the impact on climate. It is found that the volcano probably had little influence on the climate ( 0.05 K global surface cooling) or on stratospheric ozone ( 0.2 percent maximum hemispherical reduction).