R
Ronald Lee
Researcher at University of California, Berkeley
Publications - 265
Citations - 15456
Ronald Lee is an academic researcher from University of California, Berkeley. The author has contributed to research in topics: Population & Population ageing. The author has an hindex of 62, co-authored 260 publications receiving 14501 citations. Previous affiliations of Ronald Lee include National Bureau of Economic Research & National Institutes of Health.
Papers
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Modeling and forecasting U. S. mortality
Ronald Lee,Lawrence R. Carter +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the logs of the age-specific death rates are modeled as a linear function of an unobserved period-specific intensity index, with parameters depending on age, and the model is fit to the matrix of U.S. death rates using the singular value decomposition (SVD) method.
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The Demographic Transition: Three Centuries of Fundamental Change
TL;DR: The transition began around 1800 with declining mortality in Europe and spread to all parts of the world and is projected to be completed by 2100 as mentioned in this paper, which has brought momentous changes, reshaping the economic and demographic life cycles of individuals and restructuring populations.
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Determinants of fertility in developing countries.
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Evaluating the performance of the Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality.
Ronald Lee,Tim Miller +1 more
TL;DR: This paper examines the actual and hypothetical forecast errors of Lee and Carter's new statistical method for forecasting mortality, and compares them with Social Security forecast errors.
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Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: an extension of the Lee-Carter method.
Nan Li,Ronald Lee +1 more
TL;DR: Using the Human Mortality Database, the Lee-Carter model is applied to a group of populations, allowing each its own age pattern and level of mortality but imposing shared rates of change by age.