A practical step-by-step guide to wavelet analysis is given, with examples taken from time series of the El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The guide includes a comparison to the windowed Fourier transform, the choice of an appropriate wavelet basis function, edge effects due to finite-length time series, and the relationship between wavelet scale and Fourier frequency. New statistical significance tests for wavelet power spectra are developed by deriving theoretical wavelet spectra for white and red noise processes and using these to establish significance levels and confidence intervals. It is shown that smoothing in time or scale can be used to increase the confidence of the wavelet spectrum. Empirical formulas are given for the effect of smoothing on significance levels and confidence intervals. Extensions to wavelet analysis such as filtering, the power Hovmoller, cross-wavelet spectra, and coherence are described. The statistical significance tests are used to give a quantitative measure of change...

https://atoc.colorado.edu/research/wavelets/bams_79_01_0061.pdf

A Practical Guide to Wavelet Analysis.

Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing

The presence of a Jupiter-mass companion to the star 51 Pegasi is inferred from observations of periodic variations in the star's radial velocity. The companion lies only about eight million kilometres from the star, which would be well inside the orbit of Mercury in our Solar System. This object might be a gas-giant planet that has migrated to this location through orbital evolution, or from the radiative stripping of a brown dwarf.

A Jupiter-Mass Companion to a Solar-Type Star

This chapter should be cited as: Myhre, G., D. Shindell, F.-M. Bréon, W. Collins, J. Fuglestvedt, J. Huang, D. Koch, J.-F. Lamarque, D. Lee, B. Mendoza, T. Nakajima, A. Robock, G. Stephens, T. Takemura and H. Zhang, 2013: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. Coordinating Lead Authors: Gunnar Myhre (Norway), Drew Shindell (USA)

Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing

We substantially update the capabilities of the open source software package Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics (MESA), and its one-dimensional stellar evolution module, MESA star. Improvements in MESA star's ability to model the evolution of giant planets now extends its applicability down to masses as low as one-tenth that of Jupiter. The dramatic improvement in asteroseismology enabled by the space-based Kepler and CoRoT missions motivates our full coupling of the ADIPLS adiabatic pulsation code with MESA star. This also motivates a numerical recasting of the Ledoux criterion that is more easily implemented when many nuclei are present at non-negligible abundances. This impacts the way in which MESA star calculates semi-convective and thermohaline mixing. We exhibit the evolution of 3-8 M ? stars through the end of core He burning, the onset of He thermal pulses, and arrival on the white dwarf cooling sequence. We implement diffusion of angular momentum and chemical abundances that enable calculations of rotating-star models, which we compare thoroughly with earlier work. We introduce a new treatment of radiation-dominated envelopes that allows the uninterrupted evolution of massive stars to core collapse. This enables the generation of new sets of supernovae, long gamma-ray burst, and pair-instability progenitor models. We substantially modify the way in which MESA star solves the fully coupled stellar structure and composition equations, and we show how this has improved the scaling of MESA's calculational speed on multi-core processors. Updates to the modules for equation of state, opacity, nuclear reaction rates, and atmospheric boundary conditions are also provided. We describe the MESA Software Development Kit that packages all the required components needed to form a unified, maintained, and well-validated build environment for MESA. We also highlight a few tools developed by the community for rapid visualization of MESA star results.

/pdf/modules-for-experiments-in-stellar-astrophysics-mesa-planets-29j324a9bq.pdf

Modules for Experiments in Stellar Astrophysics (MESA): Planets, Oscillations, Rotation, and Massive Stars

The stellar rotation periods of 10 exoplanet host stars have been determined using newly analysed Ca II H&K flux records from the Mount Wilson Observatory and Str¨ omgren b, y photometric measurements from Tennessee State University’s automatic photometric telescopes at the Fairborn Observatory. Five of the rotation periods have not previously been reported, with that of HD 130322 very strongly detected at Prot = 26.1 ± 3.5 d. The rotation periods of five other stars have been updated using new data. We use the rotation periods to derive the line-of-sight inclinations of the stellar rotation axes, which may be used to probe theories of planet formation and evolution when combined with the planetary orbital inclination found from other methods. Finally, we estimate the masses of 14 exoplanets under the assumption that the stellar rotation axis is aligned with the orbital axis. We calculate the mass of HD 92788 b( 28MJ) to be within the low-mass brown dwarf regime and suggest that this object warrants further investigation to confirm its true nature.

/pdf/rotation-periods-of-exoplanet-host-stars-2xx3ajd94d.pdf

Rotation periods of exoplanet host stars

We compare the equilibrium climate responses of a quasi-dynamical energy balance model to radiative forcing by equivalent changes in CO2, solar total irradiance (Stot) and solar UV (SUV). The response is largest in the SUV case, in which the imposed UV radiative forcing is preferentially absorbed in the layer above 250 mb, in contrast to the weak response from global-columnar radiative loading by increases in CO2 or Stot. The hypersensitive response of the climate system to solar UV forcing is caused by strongly coupled feedback involving vertical static stability, tropical thick cirrus ice clouds and stratospheric ozone. This mechanism offers a plausible explanation of the apparent hypersensitivity of climate to solar forcing, as suggested by analyses of recent climatic records. The model hypersensitivity strongly depends on climate parameters, especially cloud radiative properties, but is effective for arguably realistic values of these parameters. The proposed solar forcing mechanism should be further confirmed using other models (e.g., general circulation models) that may better capture radiative and dynamical couplings of the troposphere and stratosphere.

/pdf/climate-hypersensitivity-to-solar-forcing-2yr2s5ihrg.pdf

Climate hypersensitivity to solar forcing

The identity of chromospheric Ca II H- and K-line emission has been monitored for two seasons in a large sample of Hyades F and G dwarfs. Mean emission levels vary smoothly with spectral type, suggesting that the rotation rate at a given spectral type varies relatively little, and that the rotation rate decreases smoothly as a function of mass. In this case the mechanism which controls pre-main-sequence angular momentum loss in late-type stars must be self-regulating to a high degree.

Chromospheric emission and rotation of the Hyades lower main sequence

http://ruby.fgcu.edu/courses/twimberley/envirophilo/hudsonbay.pdf

Polar bears of western Hudson Bay and climate change: Are warming spring air temperatures the “ultimate” survival control factor?

In January 1994, we began construction of a modern adaptive optics system for the newly refurbished 100-inch telescope. The design philosophy of the adaptive optics system is to achieve a working system in the visible in a short time at relatively low cost. This means wavefront sensing with natural guide stars and implementation at the bent Cassegrain focus of the telescope. The system has an integrated wavefront sensor and finder camera, and is automated for one-person operation. It uses off-the-shelf components where possible. The deformable mirror, which has 241 actuators, is on loan from the U.S. Air Force. The use of an existing mirror imposes constraints that have driven some of the design considerations. The system is operating at the telescope, with early results described below.

Sallie L. Baliunas

Papers

Rotation periods of exoplanet host stars

Climate hypersensitivity to solar forcing

Chromospheric emission and rotation of the Hyades lower main sequence

Polar bears of western Hudson Bay and climate change: Are warming spring air temperatures the “ultimate” survival control factor?

First tests of the Cassegrain adaptive optics system of the Mount Wilson 100-in telescope