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Shinji Toda

Researcher at Tohoku University

Publications -  123
Citations -  5309

Shinji Toda is an academic researcher from Tohoku University. The author has contributed to research in topics: Aftershock & Fault (geology). The author has an hindex of 29, co-authored 110 publications receiving 4821 citations. Previous affiliations of Shinji Toda include Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology & Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry.

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Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer

TL;DR: In this article, a forecast model was developed to reproduce the distribution of main shocks, aftershocks and surrounding seismicity observed during 1986-2003 in a 300 × 310 km area centered on the 1992 M = 7.3 Landers earthquake.
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Stress transferred by the 1995 Mw = 6.9 Kobe, Japan, shock: Effect on aftershocks and future earthquake probabilities

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated how the Kobe earthquake transferred stress to nearby faults, altering their proximity to failure and thus changing earthquake probabilities, and found that relative to the pre-Kobe seismicity, Kobe aftershocks were concentrated in regions of calculated Coulomb stress increase and less common in areas of stress decrease.
Journal Article

Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California : Animations built on earthquake stress transfer : Stress transfer, earthquake triggering, and time-dependent seismic hazard

TL;DR: In this paper, a forecast model was developed to reproduce the distribution of main shocks, aftershocks and surrounding seismicity observed during 1986-2003 in a 300 x 310 km area centered on the 1992 M = 7.3 Landers earthquake.
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Heightened Odds of Large Earthquakes Near Istanbul: An Interaction-Based Probability Calculation

TL;DR: The probability of strong shaking in Istanbul from the description of earthquakes on the North Anatolian fault system in the Marmara Sea during the past 500 years is calculated and the resulting catalog is tested against the frequency of damage in Istanbul during the preceding millennium.
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Evidence from the ad 2000 Izu islands earthquake swarm that stressing rate governs seismicity

TL;DR: It is found that the seismicity rate is proportional to the calculated stressing rate, and that the duration of aftershock sequences is inversely proportional to a laboratory-based rate/state constitutive law, suggesting an explanation for the occurrence of earthquake swarms.