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A Theory for the Term Structure of Interest Rates

TLDR
The discretised theoretical distributions matching the empirical data from the Federal Reserve System are deduced from aDiscretised seed which enjoys remarkable scaling laws and may be used to develop new methods for the computation of the value-at-risk and fixed-income derivative pricing.
Abstract
The Convolution and Master equations governing the time behavior of the term structure of Interest Rates are set up both for continuous variables and for their discretised forms. The notion of Seed is introduced. The discretised theoretical distributions matching the empirical data from the Federal Reserve System (FRS) are deduced from a discretised seed which enjoys remarkable scaling laws. In particular the tails of the distributions are very well reproduced. These results may be used to develop new methods for the computation of the value-at-risk and fixed-income derivative pricing.

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References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Elements of the Theory of Markov Processes and Their Applications

C A Coulson
- 01 Jan 1961 - 
TL;DR: Bharucha-Reid as mentioned in this paper introduced the Markov process, a random process in which movement from the present to the future is not deterministic, but is given by a series of transition probabilities.
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