An approximation to the outer planet ephemeris errors in JPL's DE 200

TLDR: The outer planet positions of JPL's recent planetary ephemeris, DE 202, have begun to show significant differences from DE 200, the basic version of the major national almanacs as discussed by the authors.

Abstract: The outer planet positions of JPL's recent planetary ephemeris, DE 202, have begun to show significant differences from DE 200, the basic ephemeris of the major national almanacs. The differences DE 202 - DE 200 are plotted and are assumed to approximate the errors of DE 200. For Jupiter, the difference in right ascension varies over the planet's 12 yr period between -0.1 and -0.2 arcsec throughout the century; for Saturn, the right ascension also varies over the 30 yr period, but in addition, shows a drift which reaches -0.25 arcsec at present; for Uranus, the difference is small through the first half of the century, but now has reached -0.4 arcsec; for Neptune, the error was +0.6 arcsec at 1900 and is near -1.0 arcsec by the year 2000; the error for Pluto exceeds +2.0 arcsec by the end of the century and is rapidly increasing. The declination errors are generally periodic and smaller than the right ascensions.