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Bankruptcy prediction and neural networks: The contribution of variable selection methods

TLDR
In this paper, variable selection techniques developed specifically for neural networks were used to improve the prediction accuracy of the models, and they may offer a useful alternative to conventional methods for variable selection.
Abstract
Of the methods used to build bankruptcy prediction models in the last twenty years, neural networks are among the most challenging Despite the characteristics of neural networks, most of the research done until now has not taken them into consideration for building financial failure models, nor for selecting the variables to be included in the models The aim of our research is to establish that to improve the prediction accuracy of the models, variable selection techniques developed specifically for neural networks may well offer a useful alternative to conventional methods

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Citations
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Metabolic p system flux regulation by artificial neural networks

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Bankruptcy in Indian Private Sector Banks: A Neural Network Analysis

TL;DR: In this article, the authors used neural networks to predict the bankruptcy in Indian private banks using financial ratios such as ROA, GNPA, EPS, PAT, and GNP of the country.

Threat of bankruptcy and the integrity of financial statement

TL;DR: In this article, the authors explored the effectiveness of Altman Z-score in predicting the occurrence of financial statement fraud and made a comparison between non-fraudulent companies and fraudulent companies.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy

TL;DR: In this paper, a set of financial and economic ratios are investigated in a bankruptcy prediction context wherein a multiple discriminant statistical methodology is employed, and the data used in the study are limited to manufacturing corporations, where an initial sample of sixty-six firms is utilized to establish a function which best discriminates between companies in two mutually exclusive groups: bankrupt and nonbankrupt firms.
Journal ArticleDOI

Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present some empirical results of a study predicting corporate failure as evidenced by the event of bankruptcy, and the methodology is one of maximum likelihood estimation of the so-called conditional logit model, in which the data set used in this study is from the seventies (1970-76).
Journal ArticleDOI

Methodological issues related to the estimation of financial distress prediction models

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined conceptually and empirically two estimation biases which can result when financial distress models are estimated on non-random samples and showed that these biases can result in biased parameter and probability estimates if appropriate estimation techniques are not used.
Journal ArticleDOI

Managerial Applications of Neural Networks: The Case of Bank Failure Predictions

TL;DR: Empirical results show that neural nets is a promising method of evaluating bank conditions in terms of predictive accuracy, adaptability, and robustness.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

A neural network model for bankruptcy prediction

TL;DR: A comparison of the predictive abilities of both the neural network and the discriminant analysis method for bankruptcy prediction shows that neural networks might be applicable to this problem.
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