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Binary choice panel data models with predetermined variables

Manuel Arellano, +1 more
- 01 Jul 2003 - 
- Vol. 115, Iss: 1, pp 125-157
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TLDR
This article presented a class of binary choice models for panel data with the following features: (i) the explanatory variables are predetermined but not strictly exogenous; (ii) individual effects are allowed to be correlated with the explanatory variable; and (iii) Dependence is specified through the conditional expectation of the effects which is let to be nonparametric.
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This article is published in Journal of Econometrics.The article was published on 2003-07-01 and is currently open access. It has received 188 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Predetermined variables & Variables.

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Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI

Simple solutions to the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity

TL;DR: In this paper, a simple approach to handling the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear unobserved effects models is proposed, where instead of attempting to obtain the joint distribution of all outcomes of the endogenous variables, instead, the distribution is conditional on the initial value (and the observed history of strictly exogenous explanatory variables).
Journal ArticleDOI

Psychological pressure in competitive environments: Evidence from a randomized natural experiment

TL;DR: In this paper, the behavior of professional subjects involved in a dynamic competition in their own natural environment was studied in a penalty shootout in soccer where two teams compete in a tournament framework taking turns in a sequence of ve penalty kicks each.
Journal ArticleDOI

Tenure Insecurity, Gender, Low-cost Land Certification and Land Rental Market Participation in Ethiopia

TL;DR: In this paper, the effects on the allocative efficiency of the land rental market of the low-cost approach to land registration and certification of restricted property rights that was implemented in Ethiopia in the late 1990s are assessed.
Journal ArticleDOI

Bounds on Parameters in Panel Dynamic Discrete Choice Models

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provide insights that shed light on the identification of parameters of some commonly used models and show through simple calculations that point identification often fails in these models and suggest that the model restricts the parameter to lie in a region that is very small in many cases.
Journal ArticleDOI

Psychological Pressure in Competitive Environments: Evidence from a Randomized Natural Experiment

TL;DR: In this article, the authors studied the behavior of professional subjects involved in a dynamic competition in their own natural environment and found a systematic first-kicker advantage in a penalty shoot-out in soccer where two teams compete in a tournament framework taking turns in a sequence of five penalty kicks each.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations.

TL;DR: In this article, the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator optimally exploits all the linear moment restrictions that follow from the assumption of no serial correlation in the errors, in an equation which contains individual effects, lagged dependent variables and no strictly exogenous variables.
Journal ArticleDOI

Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models

TL;DR: In this paper, a framework for efficient IV estimators of random effects models with information in levels which can accommodate predetermined variables is presented. But the authors do not consider models with predetermined variables that have constant correlation with the effects.
Journal ArticleDOI

Estimating vector autoregressions with panel data

TL;DR: In this article, the authors consider estimation and testing of vector autoregressio n coefficients in panel data, and apply the techniques to analyze the dynamic relationships between wages an d hours worked in two samples of American males.
Book ChapterDOI

Chapter 36 Large sample estimation and hypothesis testing

TL;DR: In this paper, conditions for obtaining cosistency and asymptotic normality of a very general class of estimators (extremum estimators) are given to enable approximation of the SDF.
Frequently Asked Questions (11)
Q1. What have the authors contributed in "Binary choice panel data models with predetermined variables" ?

The authors present a class of binary choice models for panel data with the following features: ( i ) The explanatory variables are predetermined but not strictly exogenous. The authors also present a GMM estimator for these models, which is consistent and asymptotically normal for. The authors study its. 

On account of .nite sample performance, however, it may be desirable to use a smoothed estimator of the probabilities, or to drop cells that contain very few observations (as the authors do in the empirical application). 

since p1 enters the restriction E( i) = 11 p1 + 1 2 (1 − p1) = 0, the authors maximized the full likelihood of the data given byLi × (p1)yi1 (1− p1)(1−yi1):10 

Since both yTi and x T i have .nite supports the model is fully parametric and the asymptotic distribution of the estimators can be obtained using standard GMM asymptotic theory. 

The reason is that the coeOcients in the linear index, like 2 and , will be typically parameters of interest in econometric applications in which the index is related to the agents’ objective functions evaluations. 

With T = 6, the GMM estimates always have a smaller MSE than with T = 4, but this is due to reductions in variance that o1set larger biases in all the experiments. 

The likelihood function is particularly simple in this case since the conditioning variables are binary, and only the probabilities speci.ed by the model are required in the evaluation of the t−1j . 

Weused data on 384 white married women from the random sub-sample of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), for the years 1971, 1973, 1975, and 1977. 

Since the history will a1ect the shape of the conditional distributions i |wti , their assumption implies that in general vit will only be mean independent of wti , which is a limitation of this approach. 

This particular speci.cation is motivated by the factthat most of the children’s e1ects on participation appear to depend on the presence of very young children, more so than, for example, on the total number of children living in the household (see Browning, 1992). 

Assuming that the conditional random variables i |yi1 = 1 and i |yi1 = 0 are discrete with .nite support given by m mass points e1; : : : ; em, the likelihood for one individual given the initial observation in this case isLHi = m∑‘=1 T∏ t=2 Git(e‘)yit [1− Git(e‘)](1−yit) Pr( i = e‘ |yi1 = 1); (3.4)whereGit(e‘) = F( + 2yi(t−1) + e‘): (3.5)LHi is a function of ; 2, the mass points e1; : : : ; em and the conditional probabilities Pr( i = e‘ |yi1 = 1).