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Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

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TLDR
In this paper, the authors describe the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation, and compare simulation-assisted estimation procedures, including maximum simulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and methods of simulated scores.
Abstract
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum simulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 20 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

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The Choice of Sourcing Mechanisms for Business Processes

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Fast-Food Consumption and the Ban on Advertising Targeting Children: The Quebec Experience

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors studied the effect of fast-food advertising targeting children in the Canadian province of Quebec and found that the advertising ban's effectiveness was not a result of a decrease in fast food expenditures per week but rather of the decrease in purchase propensity.
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Variational Inference for Large-Scale Models of Discrete Choice

TL;DR: Extensive simulations, along with an analysis of real-world data, demonstrate that variational methods achieve accuracy competitive with Markov chain Monte Carlo at a small fraction of the computational cost.
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Occupant injury severities in hybrid-vehicle involved crashes: A random parameters approach with heterogeneity in means and variances

TL;DR: In this article, the authors used a sample of hybrid-vehicle-involved crashes and estimates a mixed logit model of the resulting injury level of the most severely injured occupant in the crash, while accounting for possible heterogeneity in the means and variances of model parameters.
References
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Estimating the Dimension of a Model

TL;DR: In this paper, the problem of selecting one of a number of models of different dimensions is treated by finding its Bayes solution, and evaluating the leading terms of its asymptotic expansion.

Estimating the dimension of a model

TL;DR: In this paper, the problem of selecting one of a number of models of different dimensions is treated by finding its Bayes solution, and evaluating the leading terms of its asymptotic expansion.
Journal ArticleDOI

Equation of state calculations by fast computing machines

TL;DR: In this article, a modified Monte Carlo integration over configuration space is used to investigate the properties of a two-dimensional rigid-sphere system with a set of interacting individual molecules, and the results are compared to free volume equations of state and a four-term virial coefficient expansion.
Journal ArticleDOI

Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error

James J. Heckman
- 01 Jan 1979 - 
TL;DR: In this article, the bias that results from using non-randomly selected samples to estimate behavioral relationships as an ordinary specification error or "omitted variables" bias is discussed, and the asymptotic distribution of the estimator is derived.