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Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation

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TLDR
In this paper, the authors describe the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation, and compare simulation-assisted estimation procedures, including maximum simulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and methods of simulated scores.
Abstract
This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum simulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 20 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

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The Price of Policy Risk - Empirical Insights from Choice Experiments with European Photovoltaic Project Developers

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors suggest that investors who take a decision between PV investment opportunities in different countries carefully weigh feed-in tariff-induced returns against a set of policy risks, and choose the country with the most favorable risk-return profile.
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The Costs of Shareholder Activism: Evidence from a Sequential Decision Model

TL;DR: In this article, the authors provide benchmarks for monitoring costs and evaluate the net returns to shareholder activism, and find that the estimated monitoring costs reduce activist returns by more than two-thirds.
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Expanding business-to-business customer relationships: modeling the customer's upgrade decision

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors developed a model of a business customer's decision to upgrade service contracts conditional on the decision to renew the contract and found that the firm's upgrade decision is influenced by decision-maker perceptions of the relationship with the supplier, contract-level experiences, and interactions between firm and contract level variables.
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The Nature of Risk Preferences: Evidence from Insurance Choices

TL;DR: In this article, the authors use data on insurance deductible choices to estimate a structural model of risky choice that incorporates "standard" risk aversion (diminishing marginal utility for wealth) and probability distortions.
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Nudging Energy Efficiency Behavior: The Role of Information Labels

TL;DR: This paper found that simple information on the monetary value of energy savings was the most important element guiding cost-efficient energy efficiency investments, with information on physical energy use and carbon dioxide emissions having additional but lesser importance.
References
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Estimating the Dimension of a Model

TL;DR: In this paper, the problem of selecting one of a number of models of different dimensions is treated by finding its Bayes solution, and evaluating the leading terms of its asymptotic expansion.

Estimating the dimension of a model

TL;DR: In this paper, the problem of selecting one of a number of models of different dimensions is treated by finding its Bayes solution, and evaluating the leading terms of its asymptotic expansion.
Journal ArticleDOI

Equation of state calculations by fast computing machines

TL;DR: In this article, a modified Monte Carlo integration over configuration space is used to investigate the properties of a two-dimensional rigid-sphere system with a set of interacting individual molecules, and the results are compared to free volume equations of state and a four-term virial coefficient expansion.
Journal ArticleDOI

Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error

James J. Heckman
- 01 Jan 1979 - 
TL;DR: In this article, the bias that results from using non-randomly selected samples to estimate behavioral relationships as an ordinary specification error or "omitted variables" bias is discussed, and the asymptotic distribution of the estimator is derived.