Journal ArticleDOI
Home charging and electric vehicle diffusion: Agent-based simulation using choice-based conjoint data
TLDR
In this paper, the authors present an agent-based simulation to address the buying behavior of German consumers regarding electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles using empirical data primarily derived from a choice-based conjoint study.Abstract:
Electric vehicles offer the potential of climate-friendly driving and have received more and more attention in diffusion research recently. However, the effect of the availability of home charging options on the market potential of electric vehicles has not been targeted in detail in the diffusion process so far, although it represents a beneficial differentiation to conventional vehicles. Therefore, we present an agent-based simulation to address the buying behavior of German consumers regarding electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles using empirical data primarily derived from a choice-based conjoint study. We explicitly consider individual possibilities of home charging in our model, which appears to have an important influence on the diffusion of both, electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles. However, its importance decreases with faster charging times at public charging stations. Furthermore, our findings reveal that in the longer term, technological progress in charging time, range, and charging station density of electric vehicles is presumably cannibalizing plug-in hybrid electric vehicles’ market shares more than that of conventional vehicles. However, with still lower technological capabilities of electric vehicles, a governmental subsidy can initially promote plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, but electric vehicles will benefit later from that promotional effect.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
Conceptualising Circular economy performance with non-traditional valuation methods: Lessons for a post-Pandemic recovery
TL;DR: The circular economy (CE) has gained importance in the post-COVID-19 pandemic recovery as mentioned in this paper. But businesses have challenges in justifying and evaluating the CE benefits usi...
Journal ArticleDOI
Policy Instruments for the Improvement of Customers’ Willingness to Purchase Electric Vehicles: A Case Study in Iran
Elham Allahmoradi,Saeed Mirzamohammadi,Ali Bonyadi Naeini,Ali Maleki,Saleh Mobayen,Paweł Skruch +5 more
TL;DR: In this article , an integrated discrete choice and agent-based approach is applied to model the customers' choice for the valuation of electric vehicles based on the internal reference price, evaluating customers' preferences for a number of personal and vehicle attributes, according to which vehicle they chose.
Journal ArticleDOI
Beaming market simulation to the future by combining agent-based modeling with scenario analysis
TL;DR: A multi-method approach that combines scenario analysis that generates multiple “pictures of the future” with an agent-based market simulation that offers insight into the potential outcomes of today’s strategic (technological) decisions in each of these futures is proposed.
Journal ArticleDOI
The role of infrastructure to enable and support electric drive vehicles: A Transportation Research Part D Special Issue
Journal ArticleDOI
Regional Electric Vehicle Fast Charging Network Design Using Common Public Data
Nathaniel S. Pearre,Lukas G. Swan,Erin Burbidge,Sarah Balloch,Logan D. Horrocks,Brendan Piper,J. Anctil +6 more
TL;DR: In this paper , the authors present a two-stage design strategy for a network of charging hubs relying on common public data including maps of roadways and electrical systems, and ubiquitous and readily accessible daily traffic volume data.
References
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Book
Diffusion of Innovations
TL;DR: A history of diffusion research can be found in this paper, where the authors present a glossary of developments in the field of Diffusion research and discuss the consequences of these developments.
Journal ArticleDOI
A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables
TL;DR: A growth model for the timing of initial purchase of new products is developed and tested empirically against data for eleven consumer durables, and a long-range forecast is developed for the sales of color television sets.
Book ChapterDOI
A new product growth model for consumer durables
TL;DR: In this article, a growth model for the timing of initial purchase of new products is proposed, and a behavioral rationale for the model is offered in terms of innovative and imitative behavior.
Book ChapterDOI
New Product Diffusion Models in Marketing: A Review and Directions for Research:
TL;DR: The diffusion of an innovation traditionally has been defined as the process by which that innovation iscommunicated through certain channels over time among the members of a social system.