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Journal ArticleDOI

Methods and Problems in Business Cycle Theory

Robert E. Lucas
- 01 Nov 1980 - 
- Vol. 12, Iss: 4, pp 696-715
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This article is published in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.The article was published on 1980-11-01. It has received 640 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Artifact-centric business process model & Business analysis.

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Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI

THE EQUITY PREMIUM A Puzzle

TL;DR: This paper showed that an equilibrium model which is not an Arrow-Debreu economy will be the one that simultaneously rationalizes both historically observed large average equity return and the small average risk-free return.
Journal ArticleDOI

Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation

TL;DR: In this article, a procedure for representing a times series as the sum of a smoothly varying trend component and a cyclical component is proposed, and the nature of the comovements of the cyclical components of a variety of macroeconomic time series is documented.
Posted Content

Monetary Policy Shocks: What Have We Learned and to What End?

TL;DR: The authors reviewed recent research that grapples with the question: What happens after an exogenous shock to monetary policy? They argue that this question is interesting because it lies at the center of a particular approach to assessing the empirical plausibility of structural economic models that can be used to think about systematic changes in monetary policy institutions and rules.
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Theory ahead of business-cycle measurement

TL;DR: In this article, the authors reviewed recent developments in business cycle theory and found that the growth model, which was developed to account for the secular patterns in important economic aggregates, displays the business cycle phenomena once it incorporates the observed randomness in the rate of technological advance.
References
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Book

General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money

TL;DR: In this article, a general theory of the rate of interest was proposed, and the subjective and objective factors of the propensity to consume and the multiplier were considered, as well as the psychological and business incentives to invest.
Book ChapterDOI

The role of monetary policy

TL;DR: There is wide agreement about the major goals of economic policy: high employment, stable prices, and rapid growth as discussed by the authors.There is less agreement that these goals are mutually compatible or, among those who regard them as incompatible, about the terms at which they can and should be substituted for one another.
Journal ArticleDOI

Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements

John F. Muth
- 01 Jul 1961 - 
TL;DR: In this article, the Stockholm School hypothesis is used to explain how expectations are formed in the context of an isolated market with a fixed production lag, and commodity speculation is introduced into the system.