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Money's Role in the Monetary Business Cycle

Peter N. Ireland
- 01 Dec 2004 - 
- Vol. 36, Iss: 6, pp 969-983
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TLDR
A small, structural model of the monetary business cycle implies that real money balances enter into a correctly specified, forward-looking IS curve if and only if they enter into the correctly-specified, forwardlooking Phillips curve.
Abstract
A small, structural model of the monetary business cycle implies that real money balances enter into a correctly-specified, forward-looking IS curve if and only if they enter into a correctly-specified, forward-looking Phillips curve. The model also implies that empirical measures of real balances must be adjusted for shifts in money demand to accurately isolate and quantify the dynamic effects of money on output and inflation. Maximum likelihood estimates of the modelOs parameters take both these considerations into account, but still suggest that money plays a minimal role in the monetary business cycle.

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A method for taking models to the data

TL;DR: This paper developed a method for combining the power of a dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium model with the flexibility of a vector autoregressive time-series model to obtain a hybrid that can be taken directly to the data.
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Changes in the Federal Reserve's Inflation Target: Causes and Consequences

TL;DR: The authors used a New Keynesian model to draw inferences about the behavior of the Federal Reserve's unobserved inflation target and found that the target rose from 1 1/4 percent in 1959 to over 8 percent in the mid-to-late 1970s before falling back below 2 1/2 percent in 2004.
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The central-bank balance sheet as an instrument of monetary policy

TL;DR: In this article, the authors extend a standard New Keynesian model to allow a role for the central bank's balance sheet in equilibrium determination, and consider the connections between these alternative dimensions of policy and traditional interest-rate policy.
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Technology Shocks in the New Keynesian Model

TL;DR: In the New Keynesian model, preference, cost-push, and monetary shocks all compete with the real-business-cycle model's technology shock in driving aggregate fluctuations.
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How Important is Money in the Conduct of Monetary Policy

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors consider some of the leading arguments for assigning an important role to tracking the growth of monetary aggregates when making decisions about monetary policy, and argue that none of these considerations provides a compelling reason to assign a prominent role to money aggregates in the conduct of monetary policy.
References
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Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework

TL;DR: In this article, the authors developed a model of staggered prices along the lines of Phelps (1978) and Taylor (1979, 1980), but utilizing an analytically more tractable price-setting technology.
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Discretion versus policy rules in practice

TL;DR: In this article, the authors examine how recent econometric policy evaluation research on monetary policy rules can be applied in a practical policymaking environment, and the discussion centers around a hypothetical but representative policy rule much like that advocated in recent research.
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Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: Evidence and some theory

TL;DR: In this article, the authors estimate a forward-looking monetary policy reaction function for the postwar United States economy, before and after Volcker's appointment as Fed Chairman in 1979, and compare some of the implications of the estimated rules for the equilibrium properties of ineation and output, using a simple macroeconomic model.
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The solution of linear difference models under rational expectations

Olivier Blanchard, +1 more
- 01 Jul 1980 - 
TL;DR: In this article, an explicit solution for an important subclass of the model Shiller refers to as the general linear difference model is given, together with the conditions for existence and uniqueness.
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