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Journal ArticleDOI

Presidential Address: Discount Rates

John H. Cochrane
- 01 Aug 2011 - 
- Vol. 66, Iss: 4, pp 1047-1108
TLDR
Discount-rate variation is the central organizing question of current asset-pricing research as discussed by the authors, and a survey of discount-rate theories and applications can be found in the survey.
Abstract
Discount-rate variation is the central organizing question of current asset-pricing research. I survey facts, theories, and applications. Previously, we thought returns were unpredictable, with variation in price-dividend ratios due to variation in expected cashflows. Now it seems all price-dividend variation corresponds to discount-rate variation. We also thought that the cross-section of expected returns came from the CAPM. Now we have a zoo of new factors. I categorize discount-rate theories based on central ingredients and data sources. Incorporating discount-rate variation affects finance applications, including portfolio theory, accounting, cost of capital, capital structure, compensation, and macroeconomics.

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References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds

TL;DR: In this article, the authors identify five common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds, including three stock-market factors: an overall market factor and factors related to firm size and book-to-market equity.
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Efficient capital markets: a review of theory and empirical work*

Eugene F. Fama
- 01 May 1970 - 
TL;DR: Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work Author(s): Eugene Fama Source: The Journal of Finance, Vol. 25, No. 2, Papers and Proceedings of the Twenty-Eighth Annual Meeting of the American Finance Association New York, N.Y. December, 28-30, 1969 (May, 1970), pp. 383-417 as mentioned in this paper
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Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency

TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that strategies that buy stocks that have performed well in the past and sell stocks that had performed poorly in past years generate significant positive returns over 3- to 12-month holding periods.
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The use of knowledge in society

TL;DR: In this paper, it was pointed out that many of the current disputes with regard to both economic theory and economic policy have their common origin, it seems to me, in a misconception about the nature of the economic problem of society.
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The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing

TL;DR: Ebsco as mentioned in this paper examines the arbitrage model of capital asset pricing as an alternative to the mean variance pricing model introduced by Sharpe, Lintner and Treynor.
Trending Questions (1)
How does the relationship between income change and discount rate vary across different industries?

The provided paper does not discuss the relationship between income change and discount rate across different industries.