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Journal ArticleDOI

Sensitivity analysis of the effect of variations in the form and parameters of a multiattribute utility model: A survey

TLDR
In this paper, the authors present a review of sensitivity analysis of multi-attribute utility models in an attempt to answer the question of whether such additional complexities are worth the effort and complexity.
Abstract
Multiattribute utility models are used for evaluating alternatives when there are more than one criterion present. There is a trend toward the development of complicated versions of these models. These versions, although theoretically more accurate in the representation of decision makers' attitudes, require assessment procedures which are more difficult and time consuming to implement than simpler models. This paper reviews theoretical and empirical research involving the sensitivity analysis of multiattribute utility models in an attempt to answer the question of whether such additional complexities are worthwhile. Both deterministic and probabilistic models are considered and the studies are divided into four areas: (1) those involving sensitivity to the form of the multiattribute utility function; (2) those involving sensitivity to the parameters of the functions; (3) those involving sensitivity to the form and parameters of individual single attribute utility functions; and (4) those involving the relationship between deterministic and probabilistic models. A discussion of the results is given at the end.

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Journal ArticleDOI

Forecasting and Planning: An Evaluation

TL;DR: This paper explicitly recognizes the nature of F&P as future-oriented decision making activities and, as such, their dependence upon judgmental inputs and suggests reconceptualizing F &P through use of decision-theoretic concepts.
Journal ArticleDOI

Does choice of multicriteria method matter? An experiment in water resources planning

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present an experiment where U.S. Army Corps of Engineers personnel used several criteria decision-making methods to screen urban water supply plans, including goal programming, ELECTRE I, additive value functions, multiplicative utility functions, and three techniques for choosing weights (direct rating, indifference tradeoff, and analytical hierarchy process).
Journal ArticleDOI

An evaluation of multi-criteria methods in integrated assessment of climate policy

TL;DR: In this paper, a workshop was held in which climate change experts and policy makers evaluated the usefulness of MCDM for integrated assessments (IAs) and concluded that MCDMs are potentially useful for understanding tradeoffs and evaluating risks associated with climate policy alternatives.
Journal ArticleDOI

What Can We Learn from Experiments in Multiobjective Decision Analysis

TL;DR: Results from a comparison of MOA methods in power plant siting are summarized and it is shown that better designed experiments that address neglected issues would teach us even more.
References
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