The predictive validity of reproductive intentions.
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The main finding about aggregate prediction is that 1970 intentions overestimated 1971–1975 fertility to the same extent as the conventional 1970 total fertility rate.Abstract:
On the basis of data collected in the 1975 National Fertility Study (NFS) in which continuously married white women interviewed in the 1970 NFS were reinterviewed five years later, the aggregate and individual validity of reported fertility intentions is evaluated. The main finding about aggregate prediction is that 1970 intentions overestimated 1971–1975 fertility to the same extent as the conventional 1970 total fertility rate. The conclusion is that intentions suffer all of the same vulnerabilities as other period measures. At the individual level, the validity of intentions is considerable in comparison with most other indicators.read more
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The effects of unintended pregnancy on infant, child, and parental health: a review of the literature.
TL;DR: A framework for determining and measuring the pathways between unintended pregnancy and future health outcomes is outlined, indicating a need for more studies in developing countries and for further research to assess the impact of unintended pregnancy on parental health and long-term health outcomes for children and families.
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The impact of family policies on fertility in industrialized countries: a review of the literature
TL;DR: In this article, the authors examine the theoretical propositions and empirical evidence linking policies and fertility and draw attention to the complex mechanisms that theoretically link policies and demographic outcomes: mechanisms that involve imperfect information and decisions that are rationally bound by very specific circumstances.
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Fertility in Advanced Societies: A Review of Research
TL;DR: This paper provides a review of fertility research in advanced societies, societies in which birth control is the default option, and summarizes how contemporary research has explained ongoing and expected fertility changes across time and space.
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What's Happening to the Family? Interactions Between Demographic and Institutional Change
TL;DR: Schumpeter as discussed by the authors argued that men and women acquire the habit of weighing the individual advantages and disadvantages of any prospective course of action, and they cannot fail to become aware of the heavy personal sacrifices that family ties and especially parenthood entail under modern conditions.
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The emergence of Sub-Replacement Family Size Ideals in Europe
TL;DR: The most recent data from the Eurobarometer 2001 survey showed that in the German-speaking parts of Europe the average ideal family size given by younger men and women have fallen as low as 1.7 children as mentioned in this paper.
References
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Book
The Contraceptive Revolution
TL;DR: The 1970 National Fertility Survey as mentioned in this paper assesses the growth in the use of the pill and the IUD, the increasing reliance on contraceptive sterilization, and both the intended and the unwanted fertility of American women.
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The Third Child: A Study in the Prediction of Fertility.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors report on the second phase of the study of current fertility in the United States and report the results of the earlier survey work, Family Growth in Metropolitan America, by the same authors with Elliot G. Mishler, published in 1961, and reviewed in the Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly (V. X L, p. 241, April, 1962).