scispace - formally typeset
Open AccessBookDOI

Threshold Effects in the Relationship Between Inflation and Growth

Mohsin S. Khan, +1 more
- Vol. 48, Iss: 1, pp 1-21
TLDR
In this article, the authors re-examine the existence of threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and growth, using new econometric techniques that provide appropriate procedures for estimation and inference.
Abstract
This paper re-examines the issue of the existence of threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and growth, using new econometric techniques that provide appropriate procedures for estimation and inference. The threshold level of inflation above which inflation significantly slows growth is estimated at 1-3 percent for industrial countries and 11-12 percent for developing countries. The negative and significant relationship between inflation and growth, for inflation rates above the threshold level, is quite robust with respect to the estimation method, perturbations in the location of the threshold level, the exclusion of high-inflation observations, data frequency, and alternative specifications.

read more

Content maybe subject to copyright    Report

Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI

Inflation and growth: new evidence from a dynamic panel threshold analysis

TL;DR: This paper introduced a dynamic panel threshold model to estimate inflation thresholds for long-term economic growth, which allows the estimation of threshold effects with panel data even in case of endogenous regressors.
Journal ArticleDOI

Fiscal Deficits and Growth in Developing Countries.

TL;DR: This paper examined the relation between fiscal deficits and growth for a panel of 45 developing countries, and found evidence of a threshold effect at a level of the deficit around 1.5% of GDP.
Journal ArticleDOI

Inflation Thresholds and the Finance-Growth Nexus

TL;DR: In this article, the authors examined whether the strength of the cross-sectional relationship between the size of a country's financial sector and its rate of economic growth varies with the inflation rate.
Journal ArticleDOI

Fiscal policy, expenditure composition, and growth in low-income countries

TL;DR: The authors assesses the effects of fiscal consolidation and expenditure composition on economic growth in a sample of 39 low-income countries during the 1990s and finds that strong budgetary positions are generally associated with higher economic growth.
Posted Content

The Long-Run Behavior of Commodity Prices: Small Trends and Big Variability

TL;DR: This article analyzed the behavior of real commodity prices over the period 1862-99 and found that the amplitude of price movements increased in the early 1900s, while the frequency of large price movement increased after the collapse of the Bretton Woods regime of fixed exchange rates.
References
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI

A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth

TL;DR: The authors examined whether the Solow growth model is consistent with the international variation in the standard of living, and they showed that an augmented Solow model that includes accumulation of human as well as physical capital provides an excellent description of the cross-country data.
ReportDOI

Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries

TL;DR: For 98 countries in the period 1960-1985, the growth rate of real per capita GDP is positively related to initial human capital (proxied by 1960 school-enrollment rates) and negatively related to the initial (1960) level as mentioned in this paper.
Journal ArticleDOI

Finance and Growth: Schumpeter Might Be Right

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined a cross-section of about 80 countries for the period 1960-89 and found that various measures of financial development are strongly associated with both current and later rates of economic growth.
Posted Content

A sensitivity analysis of cross-country growth regressions

TL;DR: The authors examined whether the conclusions from existing studies are robust or fragile to small changes in the conditioning information set and found a positive, robust correlation between growth and the share of investment in GDP and between investment share and the ratio of international trade to GDP.
Journal ArticleDOI

Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: Estimation, testing, and inference

TL;DR: In this article, a non-standard asymptotic theory of inference is developed which allows construction of confidence intervals and testing of hypotheses, and the methods are applied to a 15-year sample of 565 US firms to test whether financial constraints affect investment decisions.