Journal ArticleDOI
Understanding How Others Treat CrisesA Multimethod Approach
TLDR
In this paper, the authors apply an ensemble of research methods to study the crisis perceptions and behavior of the People's Republic of China, and the results suggest two important desiderata with regard to analysis for improving crisis forecasting and management.Abstract:
In this paper, we apply an ensemble of research methods to study the crisis perceptions and behavior of the People's Republic of China. The results suggest two important desiderata with regard to analysis for improving crisis forecasting and management. First, we should not automatically assume that decision-makers in different countries share homogeneous views about the origin and development of crises and about appropriate measures for resolving them. Thus, effective crisis forecasting and management requires a sound understanding of one's potential allies and adversaries. Second, a multimethod research strategy is more likely to generate rich and reliable policy-relevant findings. This is especially true in the analysis of national decision systems with restricted information access, as in the case of China.read more
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Journal ArticleDOI
Chinese Conflict Calculus and Behavior: Assessment from a Perspective of Conflict Management
TL;DR: In this article, a qualitative analysis of China's behavior in five situations of international conflict suggests several important similarities in the structure and sequence of Peking's actions, which imply the existence of a relatively stable and coherent strategy of conflict management and provide a basis for inferring the nature of this strategy.
Journal ArticleDOI
Chinese Choices: A Poliheuristic Analysis of Foreign Policy Crises, 1950–1996
Patrick James,Enyu Zhang +1 more
Abstract: This paper uses the Poliheuristic Theory (PH), developed by Mintz, which incorporates both psychological and rational choice components in a synthesis of these previously isolated approaches, to explain decision making in Chinese foreign policy crises China is an interesting initial case for this project for two reasons One is its importance as a permanent member of the UN Security Council and rising superpower The other is China's reputation as a nearly unique “black box”—an especially challenging case—with regard to decision making in foreign policy crises Taken from the authoritative compilation of the International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project, the nine cases (with available data) in which China is a crisis actor span the period from 1950 to 1996 A comparative analysis of Chinese decision making in times of crisis is used to test hypotheses derived from the PH The hypotheses focus on how decisions are anticipated to occur over two stages Principal expectations are that the non compensatory rule, which places priority on political considerations, will determine viable alternatives at the first stage, while choices more in line with expected value maximization or lexicographic ordering will characterize the second stage
Journal ArticleDOI
Political Ideology and Subjective Culture: Conceptualization and Empirical Assessment
Lorand B. Szalay,Rita Mae Kelly +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a perceptual-representational theory of behavior and a methodology for studying ideology and culture as two main designs of behavioral organization are presented, and an assessment strategy is presented to explain the influence of ideological doctrines and their degree of integration with the cultural views and frame of reference.
Book ChapterDOI
Perception and Cognition
TL;DR: A substantial amount of research on political behavior is grounded in theories of perception and cognition as discussed by the authors, which has produced confusion in a number of key assumptions, measures, and concepts pertaining to political behavior.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI
Convergent and discriminant validation by the multitrait-multimethod matrix.
TL;DR: This transmutability of the validation matrix argues for the comparisons within the heteromethod block as the most generally relevant validation data, and illustrates the potential interchangeability of trait and method components.
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The limits of coercive diplomacy
TL;DR: In this article, the limits of coercive diplomacy and ultimata in history are discussed and a case study of the history of coercive and non-coercive diplomacy is presented.
Journal ArticleDOI
Twenty-Five Years of Local Wars
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors studied the 97 wars waged in the 25 years since 1945 and found that the countries of Europe and North America are living in relatively peaceful circumstances, as no war has been fought on their territories for quite a long time, yet several of them, and especially the U.S.A., are very active as belligerents far from their own territorial boundaries.