2 1 The innovative transport systems and the CityMobil project 10 1.1 The research questions 10 2 The state of art in the field of automatic transport systems 12 2.1 Case studies and demand studies for innovative transport systems 12 3 The design and implementation of surveys 14 3.1 Definition of experimental design 14 3.2 Questionnaire design and delivery 16 3.3 First analyses on the collected sample 18 4 Calibration of Logit Multionomial demand models 21 4.1 Methodology 21 4.2 Calibration of the “full” model. 22 4.3 Calibration of the “final” model 24 4.4 The demand analysis through the final Multinomial Logit model 25 5 The analysis of interaction between the demand and socioeconomic attributes 31 5.1 Methodology 31 5.2 Application of Mixed Logit models to the demand 31 5.3 Analysis of the interactions between demand and socioeconomic attributes through Mixed Logit models 32 5.4 Mixed Logit model and interaction between age and the demand for the CTS 38 5.5 Demand analysis with Mixed Logit model 39 6 Final analyses and conclusions 45 6.1 Comparison between the results of the analyses 45 6.2 Conclusions 48 6.3 Answers to the research questions and future developments 52

The European commission

The 2008 crash has left all the established economic doctrines - equilibrium models, real business cycles, disequilibria models - in disarray. Part of the problem is due to Smith’s "veil of ignorance": individuals unknowingly pursue society’s interest and, as a result, have no clue as to the macroeconomic effects of their actions: witness the Keynes and Leontief multipliers, the concept of value added, fiat money, Engel’s law and technical progress, to name but a few of the macrofoundations of microeconomics. A good viewpoint to take bearings anew lies in comparing the post-Great Depression institutions with those emerging from Thatcher and Reagan’s economic policies: deregulation, exogenous vs. endoge- nous money, shadow banking vs. Volcker’s Rule. Very simply, the banks, whose lending determined deposits after Roosevelt, and were a public service became private enterprises whose deposits determine lending. These underlay the great moderation preceding 2006, and the subsequent crash.

The Economic Institutions of Capitalism

▶ Addresses a wide range of timely environment, economic and energy topics ▶ A forum to review, analyze and stimulate the development, testing and implementation of mitigation and adaptation strategies at regional, national and global scales ▶ Contributes to real-time policy analysis and development as national and international policies and agreements are discussed and promulgated ▶ 94% of authors who answered a survey reported that they would definitely publish or probably publish in the journal again

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change

What makes organizations so similar? We contend that the engine of rationalization and bureaucratization has moved from the competitive marketplace to the state and the professions. Once a set of organizations emerges as a field, a paradox arises: rational actors make their organizations increasingly similar as they try to change them. We describe three isomorphic processes-coercive, mimetic, and normative—leading to this outcome. We then specify hypotheses about the impact of resource centralization and dependency, goal ambiguity and technical uncertainty, and professionalization and structuration on isomorphic change. Finally, we suggest implications for theories of organizations and social change.

The iron cage revisited: Institutional isomorphism and collective rationality in organizational fields (Chinese Translation)

Recent literature concerning regional development has placed significant emphasis on local institutional structures and their capacity to ‘hold down’ the global. Conversely, work on inter-firm networks – such as the global commodity chain approach – has highlighted the significance of the organizational structures of global firms’ production systems and their relation to industrial upgrading. In this paper, drawing upon a global production networks perspective, we conceptualize the connections between ‘globalizing’ processes, as embodied in the production networks of transnational corporations, and regional development in specific territorial formations. We delimit the ‘strategic coupling’ of the global production networks of firms and regional economies which ultimately drives regional development through the processes of value creation, enhancement and capture. In doing so, we stress the multi-scalarity of the forces and processes underlying regional development, and thus do not privilege one particular geographical scale. By way of illustration, we introduce an example drawn from recent research into global production networks in East Asia and Europe. The example profiles the investments of car manufacturer BMW in Eastern Bavaria, Germany and Rayong, Thailand, and considers their implications for regional development.

Globalizing regional development: aglobal production networks perspective

Cruise tourism in the Arctic has expanded due to an increase in ice melting. This can provide cruise services covering the growing demand for cruise shipping. This study analyzes the network structure and popular routes of Arctic cruise shipping in order to identify popular cruise ports and routes. An analysis conducted, using degree centrality and the weight of a link, identified that a small number of ports have high connections to others, while many ports have low connectivity. Akureyri-Isafjordur was found to be the most popular route for cruise shipping in this region. The study’s findings are drawn useful implications for the cruise industry and other business sectors in the future. 

Arctic region: analysis of cruise products, network structure, and popular routes

It is difficult to assess the risk of ship-source oil spills in Arctic waters for insurance purposes due to many unknowns and the lack of reliable data. However, maritime activities in the Arctic area continue to grow, indicating the urgent needs for the development of innovative methods to estimate loss from potential ship-source oil spills in the Arctic area. To fill this gap, we develop a hybrid Bayesian-loss function-based method to assess ship-source oil spill-related loss and implement an illustrative test on Baffin Island, Nunavut in Canada. The results confirm that our method can accurately assess loss and, subsequently, develop reliable insurance premiums for shipping activities in the Arctic area. This enables governmental and nongovernmental organizations alike to use the method as a reliable loss estimation mechanism for ship-source oil spills. Also, it is a valuable tool in designing measures for safer and more resilient Arctic shipping.

A Bayesian-loss function-based method in assessing loss caused by ship-source oil spills in the arctic area.

Socio-economic impacts of shipping along the Northwest Passage: The cost to locals

Innovations that lead to new transportation systems are very infrequent. When they have happened, the results have been disruptive because changing transportation costs affects the economic advantage of location. Construction of a new generation of cargo airships is proposed as a means of overcoming the economic disadvantage of the Canadian Shield and Arctic region. This geographic area, which has no road or rail links, accounts for 70% of Canada’s land mass. Many design concepts are being put forward, and it seems only a matter of time before this technology emerges. This chapter considers the infrastructure requirements of gateways and hubs to support cargo airships. The hubs are likely to be located at developed infrastructure interfaces with other modes of transport in Southern Canada. For Northern Canada, virtually every lake could be an initial gateway, with permanent infrastructure developing at locations with sufficient traffic.

Innovation in Transport Nodes and Nodal Systems: Airship Transport Systems and Aerodrome Requirements

Long-term insight into maritime traffic is critical for port authorities, logistics companies, and port operators to proactively formulate suitable policies, develop strategic plans, allocate budget, and preserve and improve competitiveness. Forecasting freight rate is a spotlight in port traffic literature, but relatively little research has been directed at forecasting long-term vessel traffic trends. Based on forecast long-term freight rate input provided by the recent 10-year strategic planning of the port of Rajaee, the largest port of Iran, the paper implements seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) and neural network (NN) models to forecast its container vessel traffic between 2020 and 2025. A database consisting of monthly container traffic data for this port from 1999 to 2019 is utilized. The comparison between the two forecasting models is fulfilled by benchmarking the naïve method. The results reveal the superiority of the NN model over SARIMA in this practice. Considering NN model outputs, the port should expect a significant increase in Panamax and Over-Panamax vessels in the future, and, if not timely addressed, this would result in a systemic queue in the port of Rajaee. That said, the approach can be implemented in port planning and design to avoid under- or over-estimations in such capital-intensive projects.

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/03611981221083311

Adolf K.Y. Ng

Papers

Arctic region: analysis of cruise products, network structure, and popular routes

A Bayesian-loss function-based method in assessing loss caused by ship-source oil spills in the arctic area.

Socio-economic impacts of shipping along the Northwest Passage: The cost to locals

Innovation in Transport Nodes and Nodal Systems: Airship Transport Systems and Aerodrome Requirements

Long-Term Traffic Forecast Using Neural Network and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average: Case of a Container Port