Showing papers by "Andy R Ness published in 2023"

A risk prediction model for head and neck cancers incorporating lifestyle factors, HPV serology and genetic markers

Abstract: Head and neck cancer is often diagnosed late and prognosis for most head and neck cancer patients remains poor. To aid early detection, we developed a risk prediction model based on demographic and lifestyle risk factors, human papillomavirus (HPV) serological markers and genetic markers. A total of 10 126 head and neck cancer cases and 5254 controls from five North American and European studies were included. HPV serostatus was determined by antibodies for HPV16 early oncoproteins (E6, E7) and regulatory early proteins (E1, E2, E4). The data were split into a training set (70%) for model development and a hold‐out testing set (30%) for model performance evaluation, including discriminative ability and calibration. The risk models including demographic, lifestyle risk factors and polygenic risk score showed a reasonable predictive accuracy for head and neck cancer overall. A risk model that also included HPV serology showed substantially improved predictive accuracy for oropharyngeal cancer (AUC = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.92‐0.95 in men and AUC = 0.92, 95% CI = 0.88‐0.95 in women). The 5‐year absolute risk estimates showed distinct trajectories by risk factor profiles. Based on the UK Biobank cohort, the risks of developing oropharyngeal cancer among 60 years old and HPV16 seropositive in the next 5 years ranged from 5.8% to 14.9% with an average of 8.1% for men, 1.3% to 4.4% with an average of 2.2% for women. Absolute risk was generally higher among individuals with heavy smoking, heavy drinking, HPV seropositivity and those with higher polygenic risk score. These risk models may be helpful for identifying people at high risk of developing head and neck cancer.

Development of a Duplex Serological Multiplex Assay for the Simultaneous Detection of Epstein-Barr Virus IgA and IgG Antibodies in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients

Abstract: Simple Summary IgA and IgG antibodies against Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) proteins in human serum are well-known markers for EBV-positive nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Bead-based multiplex serology assays can characterize antibodies against several antigens simultaneously; however, these assays were, so far, specific for single antibody isotypes. Here, we describe the development of a duplex serological multiplex assay for the simultaneous detection of EBV IgA and IgG antibodies in a combined assay. The novel duplex assay decreases costs and effort for future epidemiological studies in EBV and NPC research and could serve as a model for other duplex multiplex applications. Abstract Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) IgA and IgG antibodies in serum from nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients are well-established markers for EBV-positive NPC. Luminex-based multiplex serology can analyze antibodies to multiple antigens simultaneously; however, the detection of both IgA and IgG antibodies requires separate measurements. Here we describe the development and validation of a novel duplex multiplex serology assay, which can analyze IgA and IgG antibodies against several antigens simultaneously. Secondary antibody/dye combinations, as well as serum dilution factors, were optimized, and 98 NPC cases matched to 142 controls from the Head and Neck 5000 study (HN5000) were assessed and compared to data previously generated in separate IgA and IgG multiplex assays. EBER in situ hybridization (EBER-ISH) data available for 41 tumors was used to calibrate antigen-specific cut-offs using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis with a prespecified specificity of ≥90%. A directly R-Phycoerythrin-labeled IgG antibody in combination with a biotinylated IgA antibody and streptavidin-BV421 reporter conjugate was able to quantify both IgA and IgG antibodies in a duplex reaction in a 1:1000 serum dilution. The combined assessment of IgA and IgG antibodies in NPC cases and controls from the HN5000 study yielded similar sensitivities as the separate IgA and IgG multiplex assays (all > 90%), and the duplex serological multiplex assay was able to unequivocally define the EBV-positive NPC cases (AUC = 1). In conclusion, the simultaneous detection of IgA and IgG antibodies provides an alternative for the separate IgA/IgG antibody quantification and may present a promising approach for larger NPC screening studies in NPC endemic areas.