François Pelletier

TL;DR: A Bayesian projection model is described to produce country-specific projections of the total fertility rate (TFR) for all countries using an autoregressive model, in which long-term TFR projections converge toward and oscillate around replacement level.

TL;DR: Specific actions to promote health through sustainable urban development that leaves no one behind are identified, including: integrated planning; evidence-informed policy-making; and monitoring the implementation of policies.

TL;DR: A systematic evaluation to assess what proportion of under-five mortality occurs below age one compared with at age one and above to determine how much observed values deviate from so called model age patterns.

TL;DR: The main finding of this analysis is that the HIV epidemic reached a major turning point over the past decade and the absolute number of infected individuals is expected to keep growing slowly in sub-Saharan Africa and to remain near current levels worldwide, thus posing a continuing challenge to public health programs.

TL;DR: A method to estimate and assess uncertainty in the total fertility rate over time, based on multiple imperfect observations from different data sources, including surveys and censuses, finds that accounting for differences in data quality between observations gives better calibrated confidence intervals and reduces bias.