Salihu S. Musa

TL;DR: The early outbreak data largely follows the exponential growth and indicates the potential of 2019-nCoV to cause outbreaks, as well as the impact of the variations in disease reporting rate, modelled through theonential growth.

TL;DR: A conceptual models for the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan with the consideration of individual behavioural reaction and governmental actions is proposed, and it successfully captures the course of the COIDs, and thus sheds light on understanding the trends of the outbreak.

TL;DR: The under-reporting of 2019-nCoV cases was likely to have occurred during the first half of January 2020 and should be considered in future investigation.

TL;DR: This work modelled the epidemic curve of 2019-nCoV cases time series, in mainland China from January 10 to January 24, 2020, through the exponential growth and demonstrated that changes in reporting rate substantially affect estimates of R0.

TL;DR: It is found that the epidemic could increase if awareness programs are not properly adopted and the awareness programs and timely hospitalization of active cases are essential tools for effective control and mitigation of COVID-19 pandemic in Nigeria and beyond.