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Calculation methods for the gas pipeline failure rate

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TLDR
The calculation model and procedures for the method based on historical failure data statistics are established, and the so-called bathtub curve of pipeline failure rates is obtained by methods based on structural reliability analysis.
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This article is published in Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering.The article was published on 2019-03-01. It has received 14 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Failure rate & Reliability theory.

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Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI

Comprehensive framework for underground pipeline management with reliability and cost factors using Monte Carlo simulation

TL;DR: A comprehensive framework for analyzing underground pipeline management options is proposed that includes the target reliability, consequences, and cost model, and has the advantage that it can be intuitively utilized for piping management decision-making.
Journal ArticleDOI

Short-term supply reliability assessment of a gas pipeline system under demand variations

TL;DR: A methodology to assess the short-term supply reliability of a gas pipeline system under demand variations is proposed and indices from aspects of adequacy, availability, and shortage rate are developed to reflect the supply reliability.
Journal ArticleDOI

Supply reliability assessment of a gas pipeline network under stochastic demands

TL;DR: An integrated methodology to assess the gas supply reliability of a gas pipeline network considering stochastic demands is proposed in China and the results are demonstrated from the following four aspects: the probability distribution of gas shortages under the normal scenario, identification of units with a high failure probability and vulnerable units, the reasons of gas supply shortages and corresponding probabilities, and the probabilities distribution of supply reliability.
Journal ArticleDOI

Time-Dependent Reliability Analysis of Composite Repaired Pipes Subjected to Multiple Failure Modes

TL;DR: In this article, the authors used the first passage probability method to calculate the probability of failure in each failure mode and quantified the degradation process of the composite material by the Arrhenius relationship.
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Анализ статистики аварий и отказов магистрального газопровода мастах - берге - якутск

TL;DR: In this article, the authors presented a statistical analysis of the causes of accidents and failure occurrences on the linear part of the main gas pipeline. But the analysis was limited to the case of a single pipeline.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Estimation of failure probability of oil and gas transmission pipelines by fuzzy fault tree analysis

TL;DR: Failure of oil and gas transmission pipelines was analyzed by fault tree analysis and the proposed method, which combined expert elicitation with fuzzy set theories to evaluate probability of the events, is effective to treat fuzzy events of FTA.
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Review of pipeline integrity management practices

TL;DR: This paper provides a review and analysis of all aspects related to pipeline integrity, and pipeline integrity management system design is presented using activity models, process models, and knowledge structures.
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A multicriteria model for risk sorting of natural gas pipelines based on ELECTRE TRI integrating Utility Theory

TL;DR: It is argued that the assessment of risk in natural gas pipelines should not be based solely on probabilities of human fatalities, but should involve a wider perspective that simultaneously takes into consideration the human, environmental and financial dimensions of impacts of pipeline accidents.
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A realistic and integrated model for evaluating oil sands development with Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage technology in Canada

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors developed an integrated evaluation model through the analyses of a significant amount of actual historical data, which includes six subcomponent models, ranging from the subsurface reservoir to infield flowline.
Journal ArticleDOI

A method of quantitative risk assessment for transmission pipeline carrying natural gas.

TL;DR: In this paper, a simplified method for the quantitative risk assessment for natural gas pipelines is proposed, based on the information of pipeline geometry and population density of a Geographic Information Systems (GIS).
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