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Causal diagrams for epidemiologic research.

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TLDR
Causal diagrams can provide a starting point for identifying variables that must be measured and controlled to obtain unconfounded effect estimates and provide a method for critical evaluation of traditional epidemiologic criteria for confounding.
Abstract
Causal diagrams have a long history of informal use and, more recently, have undergone formal development for applications in expert systems and robotics. We provide an introduction to these developments and their use in epidemiologic research. Causal diagrams can provide a starting point for identifying variables that must be measured and controlled to obtain unconfounded effect estimates. They also provide a method for critical evaluation of traditional epidemiologic criteria for confounding. In particular, they reveal certain heretofore unnoticed shortcomings of those criteria when used in considering multiple potential confounders. We show how to modify the traditional criteria to correct those shortcomings.

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An Introduction to Propensity Score Methods for Reducing the Effects of Confounding in Observational Studies

TL;DR: The propensity score is a balancing score: conditional on the propensity score, the distribution of observed baseline covariates will be similar between treated and untreated subjects, and different causal average treatment effects and their relationship with propensity score analyses are described.
Journal ArticleDOI

Marginal Structural Models and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors introduce marginal structural models, a new class of causal models that allow for improved adjustment of confounding in observational studies with exposures or treatments that vary over time, when there exist time-dependent confounders that are also affected by previous treatment.
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Moving towards best practice when using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) using the propensity score to estimate causal treatment effects in observational studies

TL;DR: A suite of quantitative and qualitative methods are described that allow one to assess whether measured baseline covariates are balanced between treatment groups in the weighted sample to contribute towards an evolving concept of ‘best practice’ when using IPTW to estimate causal treatment effects using observational data.
References
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Book

Causation, prediction, and search

TL;DR: The authors axiomatize the connection between causal structure and probabilistic independence, explore several varieties of causal indistinguishability, formulate a theory of manipulation, and develop asymptotically reliable procedures for searching over equivalence classes of causal models.
Journal ArticleDOI

Correlation and Causation

TL;DR: Causality is the area of statistics that is most commonly misused, and misinterpreted, by nonspecialists as discussed by the authors, who fail to understand that, just because results show a correlation, there is no proof of an underlying causality.
Journal ArticleDOI

Causal diagrams for empirical research

TL;DR: In this paper, a nonparametric framework for causal inference is proposed, in which diagrams are queried to determine if the assumptions available are sufficient for identifying causal effects from nonexperimental data.
Journal ArticleDOI

Limitations of the application of fourfold table analysis to hospital data.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a method for determining the effect of an agent or process that may be considered typical in the biologic laboratory, which consists in dividing a group of animals into two cohorts, one considered the experimental group, the other the control.
Book

Statistical Models in Epidemiology

TL;DR: This self-contained account of the statistical basis of epidemiology has been written specifically for those with a basic training in biology, therefore no previous knowledge is assumed and the mathematics is deliberately kept at a manageable level.
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