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Climate change, rice crops, and violence Evidence from Indonesia
TLDR
The authors investigated the nexus between climate change and violence by focusing on Indonesia over the period 1993-2003 and found that Rice is the staple food in Indonesia and investigated the relationship between climate and violence.Abstract:
This article contributes to the literature on the nexus between climate change and violence by focusing on Indonesia over the period 1993–2003. Rice is the staple food in Indonesia and we investiga...read more
Citations
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Using Weather Data and Climate Model Output in Economic Analyses of Climate Change
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors introduce a set of weather data sets and climate models that are frequently used, discuss the most common mistakes economists make in using these products, and identify ways to avoid these pitfalls.
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Climate and Conflict
TL;DR: This article found that deviations from moderate temperatures and precipitation patterns systematically increase conflict risk, with each 1σ increase in temperature increasing interpersonal conflict by 2.4% and intergroup conflict by 11.3%.
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Climate Wars?: Assessing the Claim That Drought Breeds Conflict
TL;DR: In this paper, a conditional theory of environmental conflict predicts that drought increases the risk of civil war primarily when it strikes vulnerable and politically marginalized populations in agrarian societies, and an empirical evaluation of this general proposition through a unique gridded dataset of postcolonial Africa, which combines high-resolution meteorological data with georeferenced data on civil war onset and the local ethnopolitical context, shows little evidence of a drought-conflict connection.
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict
TL;DR: The authors found strong causal evidence linking climatic events to human conflict across a range of spatial and temporal scales and across all major regions of the world, and the magnitude of climate's influence is substantial: for each 1 standard deviation (1σ) change in climate toward warmer temperatures or more extreme rainfall, median estimates indicate that the frequency of interpersonal violence rises 4% and the frequency for intergroup conflict rises 14%.
Journal ArticleDOI
Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress:
Nina von Uexkull,Halvard Buhaug +1 more
TL;DR: The study of security implications of climate change has developed rapidly from a nascent area of academic inquiry into an important and thriving research field that traverses epistemological and dynamic domains.
References
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Generalized Linear Models
TL;DR: This is the rst book on generalized linear models written by authors not mostly associated with the biological sciences, and it is thoroughly enjoyable to read.
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Generalized Linear Models
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors used iterative weighted linear regression to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters with observations distributed according to some exponential family and systematic effects that can be made linear by a suitable transformation.
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Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980
TL;DR: It was found that in the cropping regions and growing seasons of most countries, with the important exception of the United States, temperature trends from 1980 to 2008 exceeded one standard deviation of historic year-to-year variability.
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Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
Shaobing Peng,Jianliang Huang,J. E. Sheehy,Rebecca C. Laza,Romeo M. Visperas,Xuhua Zhong,Grace S. Centeno,Gurdev S. Khush,Kenneth G. Cassman +8 more
TL;DR: This report provides a direct evidence of decreased rice yields from increased nighttime temperature associated with global warming and a close linkage between rice grain yield and mean minimum temperature during the dry cropping season.
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Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach
TL;DR: This paper used rainfall variation as an instrumental variable for economic growth in 41 African countries during 1981-99 and found that growth is strongly negatively related to civil conflict: a negative growth shock of five percentage points increases the likelihood of conflict by one half the following year.