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Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the energy markets

TLDR
In this article, the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the energy markets in terms of energy stock indexes, energy futures, ETFs, and implied volatility indexes are investigated.
Abstract
This article aims to uncover the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the energy markets in terms of energy stock indexes, energy futures, ETFs, and implied volatility indexes. We model the volatility of energy markets and demonstrate the effects of various phases of the pandemic outbreak (COVID-19) on the energy market. COVID-19-induced uncertainty indicators like the growth of the infection, economic policy uncertainty (EPU), and infectious diseases market volatility (IDsMV) have shown pronounced effects on energy markets’ historical volatility. The volatility of energy ETFs–stocks appears to be more resilient in line with S&P 500 energy stocks. WTI crude oil market has shown an unprecedented overreaction amid pandemic outbreaks and traded with an extreme volatility level. The investors’ sentiment in the energy market was factually higher on the tail events, indicating that fearful investors rushed toward put options and paid an excess premium to protect from unparalleled risk in the energy market.

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A tale of two tails among carbon prices, green and non-green cryptocurrencies

TL;DR: In this article , the authors studied the tail dependence among carbon prices, green and non-green cryptocurrencies and found that carbon prices are largely disconnected from cryptocurrencies during periods of low volatilities, while Bitcoin and Ethereum exhibit time-varying spillovers to other markets.
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Risk spillover from crude oil prices to GCC stock market returns: New evidence during the COVID-19 outbreak

TL;DR: In this article, a dynamic conditional correlation generalized autoregressive heteroscedastic (DCC-GARCH) model is employed to estimate three important measures of tail dependence risk: conditional value at risk (CoVaR), delta CoVaR (ΔCoVaRs), and marginal expected shortfall (MES).
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Examining the behaviour of energy prices to COVID-19 uncertainty: A quantile on quantile approach.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyzed the impact of the pandemic on the energy market and found that the impact was greater on the oil prices as compared to the natural gas (NGP) and the heating oil price (HOP).
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Analyzing the nexus of COVID-19 and natural resources and commodities: Evidence from time-varying causality

TL;DR: In this article , the authors explored the dynamic association between natural resources and commodity sectors by analyzing the causal relationship between the COVID19, and natural resources index and the primary commodity-related sectors by applying a novel time-varying causality test on daily data from January 23, 2020, to November 12, 2021.
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The Connections between COVID-19 and the Energy Commodities Prices: Evidence through the Dynamic Time Warping Method

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors assess the connections between the number of COVID-19 cases and the energy commodities sector by using the Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) method and find that commodities such as ULSD, heating oil, crude oil, and gasoline are weakly associated with COVID19.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks

TL;DR: In this article, a modified GARCH-M model was used to find a negative relation between conditional expected monthly return and conditional variance of monthly return, using seasonal patterns in volatility and nominal interest rates to predict conditional variance.
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TL;DR: In this article, the authors examined daily equity return volatilities and correlations obtained from high-frequency intraday transaction prices on individual stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and found that the unconditional distributions of realized variances and covariances are highly right-skewed.
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The Investor Fear Gauge

TL;DR: The Chicago Board Options Exchange9s Market Volatility Index (VIX) as discussed by the authors is called the "investor fear gauge" and is the most widely used index in the stock market.
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The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19

TL;DR: For example, the authors found that government restrictions on commercial activity and voluntary social distancing, operating with powerful effects in a service-oriented economy, are the main reasons the U S stock market reacted so much more forcefully to COVID-19 than to previous pandemics in 1918, 1957, and 1968.
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Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns.

TL;DR: The findings indicate that both the daily growth in total confirmed cases and in total cases of death caused by COVID-19 have significant negative effects on stock returns across all companies.
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