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Oil Price Shocks, Firm Uncertainty and Investment

TLDR
In this article, the authors found that an oil price shock in interaction with a firm's stock price volatility has a negative effect on investment by that firm, both in the short and long-term.
Abstract
It is found that an oil price shock in interaction with a firm’s stock price volatility has a ‎negative effect on investment by that firm, both in the short and long-term. In the presence of ‎this interaction term, linear variables in oil price shocks are not statistically significant. There is ‎evidence that for the short-term effects of the interaction variable, the particular magnitude of an ‎oil price shock may not be as important as the fact that there is an oil price shock. For the long-‎term effects, however, the magnitude of the oil price shock does matter. Over a longer horizon, ‎oil price shocks depress investment more at firms facing greater uncertainty. An increase in firm ‎stock price volatility continues to reduce the link between sales growth and investment in the ‎presence of oil price shocks as in Bloom et al. (2007).‎

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Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and stock market return

TL;DR: In this article, economic policy uncertainty and oil-market specific demand shocks account for 19% and 12% of the long-run variability in real stock returns, respectively, in the U.S. and Europe, respectively.
Journal ArticleDOI

The asymmetric effects of oil price shocks

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigate the effects of oil price uncertainty and its asymmetry on real economic activity in the United States, in the context of a general bivariate framework in which a vector autoregression is modified to accommodate GARCH-inMean errors.
Journal ArticleDOI

Oil price uncertainty and the Canadian economy: Evidence from a VARMA, GARCH-in-Mean, asymmetric BEKK model ☆

TL;DR: This paper investigated the relationship between oil price uncertainty and the level of economic activity, using quarterly Canadian data over the period from 1974:1 to 2010:1, and found that increased uncertainty about the change in the real price of oil is associated with a lower average growth rate of real economic activity in Canada.
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The interactive relationship between the US economic policy uncertainty and BRIC stock markets

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigate the dynamics of volatility spillovers between the US economic policy uncertainty and the BRIC equity markets and find that there is strong evidence of a time-varying correlation between US economic uncertainty and stock market volatility.
Journal ArticleDOI

Time-Varying Effect of Oil Market Shocks on the Stock Market

TL;DR: In this paper, a mixture innovation time-varying parameter VAR model is used to examine the impact of structural oil price shocks on U.S. stock market return.
References
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Economic Forces and the Stock Market

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors test whether innovations in macroeconomic variables are risks that are rewarded in the stock market, and they find that these sources of risk are significantly priced and neither the market portfolio nor aggregate consumption are priced separately.
Posted Content

Estimation and Inference in Econometrics

TL;DR: A theme of the text is the use of artificial regressions for estimation, reference, and specification testing of nonlinear models, including diagnostic tests for parameter constancy, serial correlation, heteroscedasticity, and other types of mis-specification.
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