On the Choice of Appropriate Development Strategy: Insights Gained from CGE Modelling of the Mozambican Economy
Henning Tarp Jensen,Finn Tarp +1 more
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In this paper, the authors make use of a 1997 computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to analyse three potential strategies that Mozambique can pursue unilaterally with a view to initiating a sustainable development process.Abstract:
This paper makes use of a 1997 computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to analyse three potential strategies that Mozambique can pursue unilaterally with a view to initiating a sustainable development process. They include (i) an agriculture-first strategy, (ii) an agricultural-development led industrialization (ADLI) strategy, and (iii) a primary-sector export-oriented strategy. The ADLI strategy dominates the other development strategies since important synergy effects in aggregate welfare arise from including key agro-industry sectors into the agriculture-first development strategy. Moreover, the ADLI strategy can be designed so it has a relatively strong impact on the welfare of the poorest poverty-stricken households, and still maintain the politically sensitive factorial distribution of income.read more
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Journal ArticleDOI
Beyond export-led growth
TL;DR: In this article, the authors compared the relative merits of two alternative open development strategies (i.e., export-led industrialization and agricultural demand-driven industrialization) by means of several simulation experiments.
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When Economic Reform Goes Wrong: Cashews in Mozambique
Margaret McMillan,Margaret McMillan,Margaret McMillan,Dani Rodrik,Dani Rodrik,Dani Rodrik,Karen Horn Welch +6 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors analyzed the available evidence and provided an accounting of the distributional and efficiency consequences of the reform and estimated that the direct benefits from reducing restrictions on raw cashew exports were of the order $6.6 million annually, or about 0.14% of Mozambique GDP.
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Marketing Margins and Agricultural Technology in Mozambique
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors used a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to analyse the effect of marketing costs on agricultural productivity and welfare in Mozambique, and found that marginal welfare improvements are higher for poor rural households, while factor returns increase in roughly equal proportions.
Posted ContentDOI
Africa's changing agricultural development strategies: past and present paradigms as a guide to the future
TL;DR: Delgado as discussed by the authors takes a critical look at the changing paradigms of agricultural development that have influenced agricultural policy in Africa since the colonial era and concludes that Africans have relatively little input into the intellectual bases of strategies affecting their rural areas, a situation that must be changed if future strategies are to be effective in dealing with Africa's problems of development.