Theory and Preliminary Analysis of Species Invasions from Ballast Water: Controlling Discharge Volume and Location

TLDR: A novel quantitative approach to estimating the risk of species establishment by combining a model for population spread with known allometric correlations between body size and population growth rate for broad taxonomic categories is presented.

Abstract: Introductions of non-indigenous species in ballast water are one of the greatest threats to freshwater and marine ecosystems worldwide. New approaches to reducing the release of organisms from ballast water are under consideration nationally and internationally. Unfortunately, the development of scientifically defensible policy for controlling introductions from ballast water has been retarded by the lack of relevant ecological theory and a shortage of information about the identity and numbers of organisms in ballast. Here, we present a novel quantitative approach to estimating the risk of species establishment by combining a model for population spread with known allometric correlations between body size and population growth rate for broad taxonomic categories. Our approach is applicable to sexually reproducing, planktonic taxonomic groups including ctenophores, cnidaria, arthropods, annelids, mollusks and (as an approximation) echinoderms and fishes. As expected, the allowable volume of balla...