https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(12)61728-0.pdf

Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010

https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(12)61766-8.pdf

A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010

Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

ABI
: ankle–brachial index
ACCORD
: Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes
ADVANCE
: Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease: Preterax and Diamicron Modified Release Controlled Evaluation
AGREE
: Appraisal of Guidelines Research and Evaluation
AHA
: American Heart Association
apoA1
: apolipoprotein A1
apoB
: apolipoprotein B
CABG
: coronary artery bypass graft surgery
CARDS
: Collaborative AtoRvastatin Diabetes Study
CCNAP
: Council on Cardiovascular Nursing and Allied Professions
CHARISMA
: Clopidogrel for High Athero-thrombotic Risk and Ischemic Stabilisation, Management, and Avoidance
CHD
: coronary heart disease
CKD
: chronic kidney disease
COMMIT
: Clopidogrel and Metoprolol in Myocardial Infarction Trial
CRP
: C-reactive protein
CURE
: Clopidogrel in Unstable Angina to Prevent Recurrent Events
CVD
: cardiovascular disease
DALYs
: disability-adjusted life years
DBP
: diastolic blood pressure
DCCT
: Diabetes Control and Complications Trial
ED
: erectile dysfunction
eGFR
: estimated glomerular filtration rate
EHN
: European Heart Network
EPIC
: European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition
EUROASPIRE
: European Action on Secondary and Primary Prevention through Intervention to Reduce Events
GFR
: glomerular filtration rate
GOSPEL
: Global Secondary Prevention Strategies to Limit Event Recurrence After MI
GRADE
: Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation
HbA1c
: glycated haemoglobin
HDL
: high-density lipoprotein
HF-ACTION
: Heart Failure and A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise TraiNing
HOT
: Hypertension Optimal Treatment Study
HPS
: Heart Protection Study
HR
: hazard ratio
hsCRP
: high-sensitivity C-reactive protein
HYVET
: Hypertension in the Very Elderly Trial
ICD
: International Classification of Diseases
IMT
: intima-media thickness
INVEST
: International Verapamil SR/Trandolapril
JTF
: Joint Task Force
LDL
: low-density lipoprotein
Lp(a)
: lipoprotein(a)
LpPLA2
: lipoprotein-associated phospholipase 2
LVH
: left ventricular hypertrophy
MATCH
: Management of Atherothrombosis with Clopidogrel in High-risk Patients with Recent Transient Ischaemic Attack or Ischaemic Stroke
MDRD
: Modification of Diet in Renal Disease
MET
: metabolic equivalent
MONICA
: Multinational MONItoring of trends and determinants in CArdiovascular disease
NICE
: National Institute of Health and Clinical Excellence
NRT
: nicotine replacement therapy
NSTEMI
: non-ST elevation myocardial infarction
ONTARGET
: Ongoing Telmisartan Alone and in combination with Ramipril Global Endpoint Trial
OSA
: obstructive sleep apnoea
PAD
: peripheral artery disease
PCI
: percutaneous coronary intervention
PROactive
: Prospective Pioglitazone Clinical Trial in Macrovascular Events
PWV
: pulse wave velocity
QOF
: Quality and Outcomes Framework
RCT
: randomized clinical trial
RR
: relative risk
SBP
: systolic blood pressure
SCORE
: Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation Project
SEARCH
: Study of the Effectiveness of Additional Reductions in Cholesterol and
SHEP
: Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program
STEMI
: ST-elevation myocardial infarction
SU.FOL.OM3
: SUpplementation with FOlate, vitamin B6 and B12 and/or OMega-3 fatty acids
Syst-Eur
: Systolic Hypertension in Europe
TNT
: Treating to New Targets
UKPDS
: United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study
VADT
: Veterans Affairs Diabetes Trial
VALUE
: Valsartan Antihypertensive Long-term Use
VITATOPS
: VITAmins TO Prevent Stroke
VLDL
: very low-density lipoprotein
WHO
: World Health Organization

### 1.1 Introduction

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a chronic disorder developing insidiously throughout life and usually progressing to an advanced stage by the time symptoms occur. It remains the major cause of premature death in Europe, even though CVD mortality has …

/pdf/european-guidelines-on-cardiovascular-disease-prevention-in-4z4nw4311i.pdf

European Guidelines on Cardiovascular Disease Prevention in Clinical Practice (Version 2012)

Dengue is a systemic viral infection transmitted between humans by Aedes mosquitoes. For some patients, dengue is a life-threatening illness. There are currently no licensed vaccines or specific therapeutics, and substantial vector control efforts have not stopped its rapid emergence and global spread. The contemporary worldwide distribution of the risk of dengue virus infection and its public health burden are poorly known. Here we undertake an exhaustive assembly of known records of dengue occurrence worldwide, and use a formal modelling framework to map the global distribution of dengue risk. We then pair the resulting risk map with detailed longitudinal information from dengue cohort studies and population surfaces to infer the public health burden of dengue in 2010. We predict dengue to be ubiquitous throughout the tropics, with local spatial variations in risk influenced strongly by rainfall, temperature and the degree of urbanization. Using cartographic approaches, we estimate there to be 390 million (95% credible interval 284-528) dengue infections per year, of which 96 million (67-136) manifest apparently (any level of disease severity). This infection total is more than three times the dengue burden estimate of the World Health Organization. Stratification of our estimates by country allows comparison with national dengue reporting, after taking into account the probability of an apparent infection being formally reported. The most notable differences are discussed. These new risk maps and infection estimates provide novel insights into the global, regional and national public health burden imposed by dengue. We anticipate that they will provide a starting point for a wider discussion about the global impact of this disease and will help to guide improvements in disease control strategies using vaccine, drug and vector control methods, and in their economic evaluation.

/pdf/the-global-distribution-and-burden-of-dengue-4d1crnic4u.pdf

The global distribution and burden of dengue

Background Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is associated with heightened risk for major adverse cardiovascular and limb events, but data on the burden of risk for total (first and potentially subsequent) events, and the association with polyvascular disease, are limited. This post hoc analysis of the EUCLID (Examining Use of Ticagrelor in Peripheral Artery Disease) trial evaluated total cardiovascular and limb events among patients with symptomatic PAD, overall and by number of symptomatic vascular territories. Methods and Results In the EUCLID trial, patients with symptomatic PAD (lower extremity revascularization >30 days before randomization or ankle‐brachial index ≤0.80) were randomized to treatment with ticagrelor or clopidogrel. Relative effects on total events (cardiovascular death; nonfatal myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke; acute limb ischemia, unstable angina, and transient ischemic attack requiring hospitalization; coronary, carotid, and peripheral revascularization procedures; and amputation for symptomatic PAD) were summarized by hazard ratios (HRs), whereas absolute risks were estimated by incidence rates and mean cumulative functions. Among 13 885 randomized patients, 7600 total cardiovascular and limb events occurred during a median 2.7 years of follow‐up, translating to 60.0 and 62.5 events per 100 patients through 3 years for the ticagrelor and clopidogrel groups, respectively (HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.89–1.03; P=0.27). Among 1393 patients with disease in 3 vascular territories, event accrual rates through 3 years for the ticagrelor and clopidogrel groups were 87.3 and 97.7 events per 100 patients, respectively. Absolute risk reductions for ticagrelor relative to clopidogrel at 3 years were −0.2, 6.7, and 10.3 events per 100 patients for 1, 2, and 3 affected vascular territories, respectively (P interaction=0.09). Conclusions Patients with symptomatic PAD have nearly double the number of total events than first events, with rates reflecting the number of affected vascular territories. These findings highlight the clinical relevance of quantifying disease burden in terms of total events and the need for long‐term preventive treatments in high‐risk patient populations. Registration URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/; Unique identifier: NCT01732822.

https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1161/JAHA.122.025504

Total Cardiovascular and Limb Events and the Impact of Polyvascular Disease in Chronic Symptomatic Peripheral Artery Disease

Introduction Disparities in the care and outcomes of peripheral artery disease (PAD) have been well-established. In part this is due to disparities in enrollment of PAD trial cohorts. However, less attention has been paid to non-random protocol non-adherence after enrollment, which may lead to inaccurate estimates of treatment effects and reduce generalizability of study results. We aimed to ascertain characteristics associated with premature study drug discontinuation in a PAD cohort. Methods Using data from EUCLID (Examining Use of Ticagrelor in Peripheral Artery Disease), factors associated with study drug discontinuation were assessed using univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models with time to study drug discontinuation as the outcome of interest. Relationships between study drug discontinuation and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke), major adverse limb events (MALE; acute limb ischemia, major amputation, and lower extremity revascularization), and all-cause hospitalization were assessed. Results Of 13,842 eligible EUCLID participants, 3,886 (28.1%) prematurely and permanently discontinued study drug over a maximum follow-up of 42 months (annualized rate of 13.2 discontinuations per 100 patient-years). In a multivariable model, premature study drug discontinuation was associated with older age (aHR 1.16, 95%CI 1.14–1.19), eligibility based on prior lower extremity revascularization rather than ABI/TBI criteria (aHR 1.14, 95%CI 1.06–1.23), CLI status (aHR 1.23, 95%CI 1.06–1.42), COPD (aHR 1.36, 95%CI 1.24–1.49), and geographic region. In a multivariable analysis, study drug discontinuation was significantly associated with MACE (aHR 3.27, 95%CI 2.90–3.67, p < 0.001), MALE (aHR 1.84, 95%CI 1.63–2.07, p < 0.001), and all-cause hospitalization (aHR 2.37, 95%CI 2.21–2.54) following study drug discontinuation. Conclusions This analysis of EUCLID demonstrates that premature, permanent discontinuation of study drug is relatively common in more than a quarter of PAD patients, is unevenly distributed based on geography and other baseline characteristics, and is associated with worse outcomes in a clinical trial context. Study teams leading future PAD trials may want to address the possibility of study drug discontinuation prospectively, as a proactive approach may help investigators to maintain study cohort diversity and representativeness without sacrificing power and precision.

/pdf/understanding-study-drug-discontinuation-through-euclid-3ur7npew.pdf

Understanding Study Drug Discontinuation Through EUCLID

Rationale for the study Endothelial protein C receptor (EPCR) is involved in the regulation of thrombin generation and inflammation. PROCR gene variant rs867186 codes for an amino acid substitution (Ser219Gly) within the membrane spanning region of EPCR. The minor allele of the variant has been identified as functional, and associated with increased shedding of EPCR from the endothelial surface.1 Previous analysis has also shown increased coagulation activated markers in those with the Gly allele1.2 Furthermore, while heterozygotes for this variant may be protected from coronary heart disease (CHD), homozygotes had a threefold elevation in CHD risk in a prospective cohort (NPHSII).1 In a case–control study of CHD (HIFMECH), there was a suggestion that the EPCR genotype interacts with factors present in metabolic syndrome, to increase CHD risk.1 Methodology NPHSII was analysed to further assess the CHD risk associated with EPCR Ser219Gly in those who have been identified as diabetic, or as having ‘metabolic syndrome’, during 15 years9 follow-up. Results Individuals who were Gly/Gly and had ‘metabolic syndrome’ had a fourfold increase in CHD risk compared with Ser/Ser (HR=4.72, CI 1.69 to 13.4) p=0.006; or an eightfold increase in risk above those who were Ser/Ser without metabolic syndrome (HR=8.02, CI 2.89 to 22.2) p=0.006. No Gly/Gly individuals without metabolic syndrome had a CHD event. Conclusions Homozygotes for the Gly allele are present at a frequency of ∼1%. If the findings in the study can be replicated, the variant would constitute a considerable CHD risk in 1% of diabetics. Replication studies are under way in three further, large prospective cohorts.

https://heart.bmj.com/content/heartjnl/96/17/e24.2.full.pdf

BAS/BSCR40 Coronary heart disease risk associated with the homozygous minor allele for endothelial protein C receptor Ser219Gly

An epidemiological transition in the prevalence of peripheral artery disease (PAD) is taking place especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where an ageing population and adoption of western lifestyles are associated with an increase in PAD. We discuss the limited evidence which suggests that infection, potentially mediated by inflammation, may be a risk factor for PAD, and show by means of an ecological analysis that country-level prevalence of the major endemic infections of HIV, tuberculosis and malaria are associated with the prevalence of PAD. While further research is required, we propose that scientists and health authorities pay more attention to the interplay between communicable and non-communicable diseases, and we suggest that limiting the occurrence of endemic infections might have some effect on slowing the epidemiological transition in PAD. 

/pdf/the-global-epidemiological-transition-in-cardiovascular-11e5e3t0.pdf

F.G.R. Fowkes

Papers

Total Cardiovascular and Limb Events and the Impact of Polyvascular Disease in Chronic Symptomatic Peripheral Artery Disease

Understanding Study Drug Discontinuation Through EUCLID

BAS/BSCR40 Coronary heart disease risk associated with the homozygous minor allele for endothelial protein C receptor Ser219Gly

The Global Epidemiological Transition in Cardiovascular Diseases: Unrecognised Impact of Endemic Infections on Peripheral Artery Disease