THE DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF EXPERIMENTS. By Oscar Kempthorne. New York, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 1952. 631 pp. $8.50. This book by a teacher of statistics (as well as a consultant for \"experimenters\") is a comprehensive study of the philosophical background for the statistical design of experiment. It is necessary to have some facility with algebraic notation and manipulation to be able to use the volume intelligently. The problems are presented from the theoretical point of view, without such practical examples as would be helpful for those not acquainted with mathematics. The mathematical justification for the techniques is given. As a somewhat advanced treatment of the design and analysis of experiments, this volume will be interesting and helpful for many who approach statistics theoretically as well as practically. With emphasis on the \"why,\" and with description given broadly, the author relates the subject matter to the general theory of statistics and to the general problem of experimental inference. MARGARET J. ROBERTSON

The Design and Analysis of Experiments

Data Mining - Concepts and Techniques.

Part I. Experimental Studies: 2. Experiment in psychology 3. Experiments on perceiving III Experiments on imaging 4-8. Experiments on remembering: (a) The method of description (b) The method of repeated reproduction (c) The method of picture writing (d) The method of serial reproduction (e) The method of serial reproduction picture material 9. Perceiving, recognizing, remembering 10. A theory of remembering 11. Images and their functions 12. Meaning Part II. Remembering as a Study in Social Psychology: 13. Social psychology 14. Social psychology and the matter of recall 15. Social psychology and the manner of recall 16. Conventionalism 17. The notion of a collective unconscious 18. The basis of social recall 19. A summary and some conclusions.

Remembering. A Study in Experimental and Social Psychology, Cambridge (University Press) 1964.

The 2008 crash has left all the established economic doctrines - equilibrium models, real business cycles, disequilibria models - in disarray. Part of the problem is due to Smith’s "veil of ignorance": individuals unknowingly pursue society’s interest and, as a result, have no clue as to the macroeconomic effects of their actions: witness the Keynes and Leontief multipliers, the concept of value added, fiat money, Engel’s law and technical progress, to name but a few of the macrofoundations of microeconomics. A good viewpoint to take bearings anew lies in comparing the post-Great Depression institutions with those emerging from Thatcher and Reagan’s economic policies: deregulation, exogenous vs. endoge- nous money, shadow banking vs. Volcker’s Rule. Very simply, the banks, whose lending determined deposits after Roosevelt, and were a public service became private enterprises whose deposits determine lending. These underlay the great moderation preceding 2006, and the subsequent crash.

The Economic Institutions of Capitalism

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The Theory of Industrial Organization

The impact of information processing errors made in negotiation support systems on the negotiation agreement

E-Negotiations: Foundations, Systems, and Processes

In this paper problems of support of discrete decision processes are discussed. A rule-based formalism is used to represent the decision problem, to model interactions with the environment, and to modify problem representation. A three-valued valuation function is used to give the flexibility in selection of a particular solution. The modelling approach and the solutions are illustrated with simple yet compelling example. An expert system shell NEGOPLAN is discussed and examples of its use to support negotiations with a hostage-taker are given. The negotiator is a police commander who should have an ability to modify a problem representation as a hostage-taking incident evolves. The possibility of implementing the proposed approach to decision problems in a dynamic environment is also discussed.

Gregory E. Kersten

Papers

The impact of information processing errors made in negotiation support systems on the negotiation agreement

E-Negotiations: Foundations, Systems, and Processes

Supporting Decision Processes: An Approach and Two Examples

How Well Agents Represent Their Principals’ Preferences: The Effect of Information Processing, Value Orientation, and Goals

Special issue: Negotiation modeling and support