This chapter discusses leading problems linked to energy that the world is now confronting and to propose some ideas concerning possible solutions. Oil deserves special attention among all energy sources. Since the beginning of 1981, it has merely been continuing and enhancing the downward movement in consumption and prices caused by excessive rises, especially for light crudes such as those from Africa, and the slowing down of worldwide economic growth. Densely-populated oil-producing countries need to produce to live, to pay for their food and their equipment. If the economic growth of the industrialized countries were to be 4%, even if investment in the rational use of energy were pushed to the limit and the development of nonpetroleum energy sources were also pursued actively, it would be extremely difficult to prevent a sharp rise in prices. It is evident that it is absolutely necessary to pursue actively the development of coal, natural gas, and nuclear power if a physical shortage of energy is not to block economic growth.

World energy outlook

The Global Energy Assessment (GEA) brings together over 300 international researchers to provide an independent, scientifically based, integrated and policy-relevant analysis of current and emerging energy issues and options. It has been peer-reviewed anonymously by an additional 200 international experts. The GEA assesses the major global challenges for sustainable development and their linkages to energy; the technologies and resources available for providing energy services; future energy systems that address the major challenges; and the policies and other measures that are needed to realize transformational change toward sustainable energy futures. The GEA goes beyond existing studies on energy issues by presenting a comprehensive and integrated analysis of energy chalenges, opportunities and strategies, for developing, industrialized and emerging economies. This volume is a invaluable resource for energy specialists and technologists in all sectors (academia, industry and government) as well as policymakers, development economists and practitioners in international organizations and national governments.

Global Energy Assessment: Toward a Sustainable Future

http://iran-tarjome.persiangig.com/other/The%20current%20state%20of%20offshore%20wind%20energy%20technology%20development.pdf

The current state of offshore wind energy technology development

Increased renewable energy integration and international power trades have led to the construction and development of new HVDC transmission systems. HVDC cables, in particular, play an important role in undersea power transmission and offshore renewable energy integration having lower losses and higher reliability. In this paper, the current commercial feasibility of HVDC cables and the development of different types of HVDC cables and accessories are reviewed. The non-uniform electric field distribution caused by the applied voltage, temperature dependent conductivity, and space charge accumulation is briefly discussed. Current research in HVDC cable for higher operation voltage level and larger power capacity is also reviewed with specific focus on the methodologies of space charge suppression for XLPE extruded cables.

Review of high voltage direct current cables

Shifting towards offshore wind energy—Recent activity and future development

Wind energy has experienced accelerated cost reduction over the past five years—far greater than predicted in a 2015 expert elicitation. Here we report results from a new survey on wind costs, compare those with previous results and discuss the accuracy of the earlier predictions. We show that experts in 2020 expect future onshore and offshore wind costs to decline 37–49% by 2050, resulting in costs 50% lower than predicted in 2015. This is due to cost reductions witnessed over the past five years and expected continued advancements. If realized, these costs might allow wind to play a larger role in energy supply than previously anticipated. Considering both surveys, we also conclude that there is considerable uncertainty about future costs. Our results illustrate the importance of considering cost uncertainty, highlight the value and limits of using experts to reveal those uncertainties, and yield possible lessons for energy modellers and expert elicitation. Costs of renewable energy generation have fallen rapidly in recent years, often faster than predicted. Wiser et al. undertake an expert elicitation survey to project wind power costs to 2050, finding substantial continued cost reductions, and compare back to a previous survey to understand what has changed.

/pdf/expert-elicitation-survey-predicts-37-to-49-declines-in-wind-51no6m9jym.pdf

Expert elicitation survey predicts 37% to 49% declines in wind energy costs by 2050

This document outlines the Department of Energy's strategy for accelerating the responsible development of offshore wind energy in the United States.

A National Offshore Wind Strategy. Creating an Offshore Wind Energy Industry in the United States

Tethys: Developing a commons for understanding environmental effects of ocean renewable energy

Author(s): Wiser, Ryan H; Millstein, Dev; Rand, Joseph; Donohoo-Vallett, Paul; Gilman, Patrick; Mai, Trieu | Abstract: Sharply reducing carbon emissions is imperative to prevent the worst effects of climate change. Yet even in the power sector—often viewed as the lynchpin to economy-wide decarbonization, and where low-carbon solutions are increasingly plentiful and cost-effective—the pace and scale of the required transformation can be daunting. A review of historical trends, however, shows the progress the power sector has already made in reducing emissions. Fifteen years ago, many business-as-usual projections anticipated that annual carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from power supply in the United States would reach 3,000 million metric tons (MMT) in 2020. In fact, direct power-sector CO2 emissions in 2020 were 1,450 MMT—roughly 50% below the earlier projections. By this metric, in only 15 years the country’s power sector has gone halfway to zero emissions. Other metrics also evolved differently than projected: total consumer electricity costs (i.e., bills) were 18% lower; costs to human health and the climate were 92% and 52% lower, respectively; and the number of jobs in electricity generation was 29% higher. Economic, technical, and policy factors contributed to this success, including sectoral changes, energy efficiency, wind and solar, continued operations of the nuclear fleet, and coal-to-gas fuel switching. This historical record demonstrates the ability of technological and policy changes to set the power sector on a dramatically different emissions trajectory. Past success, however, does not trivialize the challenges that remain for further decarbonization in the power sector and beyond. Nor does it offer a specific roadmap for how best to achieve additional power-sector emissions reductions. Numerous challenges confront a zero-emissions pathway, and future strategies will likely differ from those of the past. Many recent studies have assessed how to make further progress in decarbonizing the power sector on the pathway to decarbonizing the economy as a whole. We summarize the core results of those studies, but the primary goal of this report is to highlight the progress that has already been made in reducing power-sector emissions. As the country maps out a plan for further decarbonization, experience from the past 15 years offers two central lessons. First, policy and technology advancement are imperative to achieving significant emissions reductions. Second, our ability to predict the future is limited, and so it will be crucial to adapt as we gain policy experience and as technologies advance in unexpected ways.

/pdf/halfway-to-zero-progress-towards-a-carbon-free-power-sector-456drbaxls.pdf

Halfway to Zero: Progress towards a Carbon-Free Power Sector

/pdf/power-sector-supply-chain-jobs-and-emissions-implications-of-3elgftp5j9.pdf

Patrick Gilman

Papers

Expert elicitation survey predicts 37% to 49% declines in wind energy costs by 2050

A National Offshore Wind Strategy. Creating an Offshore Wind Energy Industry in the United States

Tethys: Developing a commons for understanding environmental effects of ocean renewable energy

Halfway to Zero: Progress towards a Carbon-Free Power Sector

Power Sector, Supply Chain, Jobs, and Emissions Implications of 30 Gigawatts of Offshore Wind Power by 2030