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Open AccessProceedings ArticleDOI

Collective attention and the dynamics of group deals

TLDR
In this paper, the authors studied the group purchasing behavior of daily deals in Groupon and LivingSocial and formulated a predictive dynamic model of collective attention for group buying behavior using large data sets from both groups.
Abstract
We present a study of the group purchasing behavior of daily deals in Groupon and LivingSocial and formulate a predictive dynamic model of collective attention for group buying behavior. Using large data sets from both Groupon and LivingSocial we show how the model is able to predict the success of group deals as a function of time.We find that Groupon deals are easier to predict accurately earlier in the deal lifecycle than LivingSocial deals due to the total number of deal purchases saturating quicker. One possible explanation for this is that the incentive to socially propagate a deal is based on an individual threshold in LivingSocial, whereas in Groupon it is based on a collective threshold which is reached very early. Furthermore, the personal benefit of propagating a deal is greater in LivingSocial.

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Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI

Emergence of scaling in human-interest dynamics

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors investigated the scaling behaviors associated with human-interest dynamics, including the length of continuous interest, the return time of visiting certain interest and the interest ranking and transition.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Daily deals: prediction, social diffusion, and reputational ramifications

TL;DR: A study of the economics of daily deals on the web, based on a dataset compiled by monitoring Groupon and LivingSocial sales in 20 large cities over several months, provides evidence that daily deal sites benefit from significant word-of-mouth effects during sales events, consistent with results predicted by cascade models.
Journal ArticleDOI

Ceiling effect of online user interests for the movies

TL;DR: The information entropy is introduced to measure the diversity of the user interests and shows that as the user degree increases, the entropy increases from the lowest value at first to the highest value and then begins to fall, which indicates that the interests of the small-degree and large-degree users are more centralized, while the interests are more diverse.
Journal ArticleDOI

The Attention Automaton: Sensing Collective User Interests in Social Network Communities

TL;DR: The proposed Attention Automaton is proposed, a probabilistic finite automata that can estimate the collective attention of some user community and can predict audience reception of impending trends based on categorical filters and inherent oscillations in user activity.
Journal ArticleDOI

Memory effect of the online rating for movies

TL;DR: This paper investigates the correlations between the users’ rating behaviors and the real-time updated average ratings of objects given from other users' previous ratings and shows that in general there is a linear correlation with slope one between them when the displayed average ratings are between 2.0 and 4.5.
References
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The dynamics of viral marketing

TL;DR: While on average recommendations are not very effective at inducing purchases and do not spread very far, this work presents a model that successfully identifies communities, product, and pricing categories for which viral marketing seems to be very effective.
Journal ArticleDOI

Predicting the popularity of online content

TL;DR: In this article, a method for predicting the long-term popularity of online content from early measurements of user access is presented, using two content sharing portals, Youtube and Digg, using the accrual of views and votes on content offered by these services.
Posted Content

Information Contagion: an Empirical Study of the Spread of News on Digg and Twitter Social Networks

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors analyzed data from two popular social news sites, Digg and Twitter, and tracked how interest in news stories spreads among them, and showed that social networks play a crucial role in the spread of information on these sites, and that network structure affects dynamics of information flow.
Journal ArticleDOI

Novelty and collective attention

TL;DR: The dynamics of collective attention among 1 million users of an interactive web site, digg.com, devoted to thousands of novel news stories are analyzed, indicating that novelty within groups decays with a stretched-exponential law.
Journal ArticleDOI

Socially Embedded Consumer Transactions: For What Kinds of Purchases Do People Most Often Use Networks?

TL;DR: In this article, the authors argue that transacting with social contacts is effective because it embeds commercial exchanges in a web of obligations and holds the seller's network hostage to appropriate role performance in the economic transaction.
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