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Development of models for cervical cancer screening: construction in a cross-sectional population and validation in two screening cohorts in China.

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TLDR
In this paper, the authors developed and evaluated a more accurate model for cervical cancer screening using age, cytology, high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) DNA/mRNA, E6 oncoprotein, HPV genotyping, and p16/Ki-67.
Abstract
Current methods for cervical cancer screening result in an increased number of referrals and unnecessary diagnostic procedures. This study aimed to develop and evaluate a more accurate model for cervical cancer screening. Multiple predictors including age, cytology, high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) DNA/mRNA, E6 oncoprotein, HPV genotyping, and p16/Ki-67 were used for model construction in a cross-sectional population including women with normal cervix (N = 1085), cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN, N = 279), and cervical cancer (N = 551) to predict CIN2+ or CIN3+. A base model using age, cytology, and hrHPV was calculated, and extended versions with additional biomarkers were considered. External validations in two screening cohorts with 3-year follow-up were further conducted (NCohort-I = 3179, NCohort-II = 3082). The base model increased the area under the curve (AUC, 0.91, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.88–0.93) and reduced colposcopy referral rates (42.76%, 95% CI = 38.67–46.92) compared to hrHPV and cytology co-testing in the cross-sectional population (AUC 0.80, 95% CI = 0.79–0.82, referrals rates 61.62, 95% CI = 59.4–63.8) to predict CIN2+. The AUC further improved when HPV genotyping and/or E6 oncoprotein were included in the base model. External validation in two screening cohorts further demonstrated that our models had better clinical performances than routine screening methods, yielded AUCs of 0.92 (95% CI = 0.91–0.93) and 0.94 (95% CI = 0.91–0.97) to predict CIN2+ and referrals rates of 17.55% (95% CI = 16.24–18.92) and 7.40% (95% CI = 6.50–8.38) in screening cohort I and II, respectively. Similar results were observed for CIN3+ prediction. Compared to routine screening methods, our model using current cervical screening indicators can improve the clinical performance and reduce referral rates.

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Journal ArticleDOI

Developing a predictive nomogram for colposcopists: a retrospective, multicenter study of cervical precancer identification in China

TL;DR: In this article , the authors developed and validated a nomogram which incorporates multiple clinically relevant variables to better identify HSIL+ cases during colposcopic examination. But the model was externally validated with 472 consecutive patients and compared to 422 other patients from two additional hospitals.
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Mathematical Modelling of Cervical Precancerous Lesion Grade Risk Scores: Linear Regression Analysis of Cellular Protein Biomarkers and Human Papillomavirus E6/E7 RNA Staining Patterns

TL;DR: In this paper , the authors used mathematical models to predict the risk of cervical lesion progression and identifying precancerous lesions in patients in northern Thailand by evaluating the expression of multiple biomarkers.
Journal ArticleDOI

Evaluating the Feasibility of Machine-Learning-Based Predictive Models for Precancerous Cervical Lesions in Patients Referred for Colposcopy

TL;DR: Wang et al. as mentioned in this paper evaluated the feasibility of machine learning (ML) models for predicting high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions or worse (HSIL+) in patients referred for colposcopy by combining colposcopic findings with demographic and screening results.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Colposcopically directed biopsy, random cervical biopsy, and endocervical curettage in the diagnosis of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia II or worse.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors determined the relative importance of colposcopically directed biopsy, random biopsy and endocervical curettage (ECC) in diagnosing ≥cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) II.
Journal ArticleDOI

Cytology versus HPV testing for cervical cancer screening in the general population

TL;DR: The quality of the evidence for the sensitivity of the tests was moderate, and high for the specificity, and the results did not differ by age of women (less than or greater than 30 years old), or in studies with verification bias.
Journal ArticleDOI

p16/Ki-67 Dual Stain Cytology for Detection of Cervical Precancer in HPV-Positive Women

TL;DR: Dual stain cytology showed good risk stratification for all HPV- positive women and for HPV-positive women with normal cytology and additional follow-up is needed to determine how long dual stain negative women remain at low risk of precancer.
Journal ArticleDOI

A cohort study of cervical screening using partial HPV typing and cytology triage.

TL;DR: The prospectively evaluated combinations of partial HPV typing and cytology triage and explored whether management could be simplified, based on grouping combinations yielding similar 3‐year or 18‐month CIN3+ risks, to support primary HPV testing.
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