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Die Another Day: Duration in German Import Trade

TLDR
In this paper, the authors examine empirically the duration in German import trade at the 8-digit product level from 1995 to 2005 and find that survival probabilities are affected by product type, exporter characteristics and market structure.
Abstract
International trade patterns at the product level are surprisingly dynamic. The majority of trade relationships exist for just a few, often only two to four, years. In this paper, I examine empirically the duration in German import trade at the 8-digit product level from 1995 to 2005. I find that survival probabilities are affected by product type, exporter characteristics and market structure. Specifically, I show that the duration of exporting a product to Germany is longer for differentiated products, for products with a low elasticity of substitution, for products obtained from a large exporter that is geographically close to the German market, and for products in markets with increasing import demand.

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References
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International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors focus on international investment and international trade in the product cycle and argue that it is a mistake to assume that equal access to scientific principles in all the advanced countries means equal probability of the application of these principles in the generation of new products.
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Networks versus Markets in International Trade

TL;DR: In this article, the authors propose a network/search view of international trade in differentiated products and present evidence that supports the view that proximity and common language/colonial ties are more important for differentiated products than for products traded on organized exchanges in matching international buyers and sellers.
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Estimating Trade Flows: Trading Partners and Trading Volumes

TL;DR: In this paper, the impact of trade frictions on trade flows can be decomposed into the intensive and extensive margins, where the former refers to the trade volume per exporter and the latter referred to the number of exporters.
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Globalization and the Gains from Variety

TL;DR: This article showed that the import of new product varieties has contributed to national welfare gains in the United States over the last three decades (1972-2001) by increasing the number of imported product varieties by a factor of four.
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