Journal ArticleDOI
Explaining and simulating judgment biases as an aggregation phenomenon in probabilistic, multiple-cue environments.
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This article is published in Psychological Review.The article was published on 1996-01-01. It has received 176 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Social cognition & Response bias.read more
Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
The Trouble With Overconfidence
Paul J. Healy,Don A. Moore +1 more
TL;DR: Overprecision appears to be more persistent than either of the other 2 types of overconfidence, but its presence reduces the magnitude of both overestimation and overplacement.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Trouble With Overconfidence
Don A. Moore,Paul J. Healy +1 more
TL;DR: This paper presented a reconciliation of three distinct ways in which the research literature has defined overconfidence: (a) overestimation of one's actual performance, (b) overplacement of the performance relative to others, and (c) excessive precision in one's beliefs.
Posted Content
The Biasing Health Halos of Fast Food Restaurant Health Claims: Lower Calorie Estimates and Higher Side-Dish Consumption Intentions
Pierre Chandon,Brian Wansink +1 more
TL;DR: These studies help explain why the success of fastfood restaurants serving lower-calorie foods has not led to the expected reduction in total calorie intake and in obesity rates and suggest innovative strategies for consumers, marketers, and policy makers searching for ways to fight obesity.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Biasing Health Halos of Fast-Food Restaurant Health Claims: Lower Calorie Estimates and Higher Side-Dish Consumption Intentions
Pierre Chandon,Brian Wansink +1 more
TL;DR: This article found that people are more likely to underestimate the caloric content of main dishes and to choose higher-calorie side dishes, drinks, or desserts when fast-food restaurants claim to be healthy compared to when they do not (e.g., McDonald's).
Journal ArticleDOI
Consumer Inference: A Review of Processes, Bases, and Judgment Contexts
TL;DR: In this paper, the most basic processes are induction (inferences from specific instances to general principles) versus deduction (inference from general principles to specific instances) and Stimulus-based inferences are formed on-line (as information is encountered) using situationally available information, whereas memory-based (or theory-based) inferences were formed using prior knowledge and experience.
References
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Book
Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Amos Tversky,Daniel Kahneman +1 more
TL;DR: The authors described three heuristics that are employed in making judgements under uncertainty: representativeness, availability of instances or scenarios, and adjustment from an anchor, which is usually employed in numerical prediction when a relevant value is available.
Book
The Ecological Approach to Visual Perception
TL;DR: The relationship between Stimulation and Stimulus Information for visual perception is discussed in detail in this article, where the authors also present experimental evidence for direct perception of motion in the world and movement of the self.
Journal ArticleDOI
Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability
Amos Tversky,Daniel Kahneman +1 more
TL;DR: A judgmental heuristic in which a person evaluates the frequency of classes or the probability of events by availability, i.e., by the ease with which relevant instances come to mind, is explored.
Book
How We Think
TL;DR: In this article, the importance of critical thinking and the vital role education should play in the development of the critical thinking skills of children has been highlighted, and an appreciation of this correlation and a recognition of its value in educational practice can promote individual happiness and reduce social waste.
Related Papers (5)
Illusory correlation in interpersonal perception. a cognitive basis of stereotypic judgments.
David L. Hamilton,Robert Gifford +1 more