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Journal ArticleDOI

Forecasting China's natural gas demand based on optimised nonlinear grey models

TLDR
In this article, the authors constructed China's natural gas consumption forecasting model by utilising two optimised nonlinear grey models: the Grey Verhulst Model and the Nonlinear Grey Bernoulli Model.
About
This article is published in Energy.The article was published on 2017-12-01. It has received 126 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Liquefied natural gas & Natural gas.

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Journal ArticleDOI

Global renewable energy development: Influencing factors, trend predictions and countermeasures

TL;DR: In this article, the authors divide the world into seven regions based on the Engineering News-Record (ENR) regional classification and analyse the status of renewable energy from political, technical, economic and social perspectives.
Journal ArticleDOI

Using a novel multi-variable grey model to forecast the electricity consumption of Shandong Province in China

TL;DR: A novel multi-variable grey forecasting model which considered the total population is developed to forecast the electricity consumption in Shandong Province and demonstrates that the model provides remarkable prediction performances compared with the traditionalgrey forecasting model.
Journal ArticleDOI

Conventional models and artificial intelligence-based models for energy consumption forecasting: A review

TL;DR: The review results show that conventional models are preferred for the yearly energy consumption forecasting in national level and nonlinear regression models can not only explicitly describe the relationship between consumption data and influencing factors but also obtain the lowest average MAPE for long-termEnergy consumption forecasting.
Journal ArticleDOI

Safety and security of oil and gas pipeline transportation : A systematic analysis of research trends and future needs using WoS

TL;DR: In this paper, a systematic and thorough review is carried out to investigate safety and security of oil and gas pipelines based on bibliometric analysis, and the evolution of research topics and research methods are identified based on keywords and bibliographic analysis.
Journal ArticleDOI

Can expanding natural gas consumption reduce China's CO2 emissions?

TL;DR: Zhang et al. as mentioned in this paper used the nonparametric additive regression model with data-driven features to investigate the relationship between natural gas consumption and CO2 emissions, and found that natural gas usage has an inverted U-shaped nonlinear effect on CO2 emission in the eastern region, but a positive U-shape non-linear effect in the central and western regions.
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Posted Content

Comparing Predictive Accuracy

TL;DR: The authors describes the advantages of these studies and suggests how they can be improved and also provides aids in judging the validity of inferences they draw, such as multiple treatment and comparison groups and multiple pre- or post-intervention observations.
ReportDOI

Comparing Predictive Accuracy

TL;DR: In this article, explicit tests of the null hypothesis of no difference in the accuracy of two competing forecasts are proposed and evaluated, and asymptotic and exact finite-sample tests are proposed, evaluated and illustrated.
Journal ArticleDOI

Introduction to Grey system theory

J. L. Deng
TL;DR: The Grey Systeni and its applications are interdisciplinary, cutting across a variety of specialized fields, and it is evident that Grey System theory stands the test of time since 1982 as mentioned in this paper.
Journal ArticleDOI

Grey system theory-based models in time series prediction

TL;DR: The simulation results show that modified grey models have higher performances not only on model fitting but also on forecasting, and the modified GM(1,1) using Fourier series in time is the best in model fitting and forecasting.
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