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How Does Parental Leave Affect Fertility and Return to Work? Evidence from Two Natural Experiments

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TLDR
In this paper, the effects of changes in the duration of paid, job-protected parental leave on mothers' higher-order fertility and post-birth labor market careers were analyzed.
Abstract
This paper analyzes the effects of changes in the duration of paid, job-protected parental leave on mothers' higher-order fertility and postbirth labor market careers. Identification is based on a major Austrian reform increasing the duration of parental leave from one year to two years for any child born on or after July 1, 1990. We find that mothers who give birth to their first child immediately after the reform have more second children than prereform mothers, and that extended parental leave significantly reduces return to work. Employment and earnings also decrease in the short run, but not in the long run. Fertility and work responses vary across the population in ways suggesting that both cash transfers and job protection are relevant. Increasing parental leave for a future child increases fertility strongly but leaves short-run postbirth careers relatively unaffected. Partially reversing the 1990 extension, a second 1996 reform improves employment and earnings while compressing the time between births.

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Unobservable Selection and Coefficient Stability: Theory and Evidence

TL;DR: This article developed an extension of the theory that connects bias explicitly to coefficient stability and showed that it is necessary to take into account coefficient and R-squared movements, and showed two validation exercises and discuss application to the economics literature.
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The career costs of children

TL;DR: In this article, the life-cycle career costs associated with child rearing and decomposes their eects into unearned wages (as women drop out of the labor market), loss of human capital, and selection into more child-friendly occupations).
Journal ArticleDOI

Parental Leave - A Policy Evaluation of the Swedish "Daddy-Month" Reform ∗

TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigate the effect of a reform of parental leave on fathers' and mothers' long-term wages and employment and find no behavioral effects in the household.
Journal ArticleDOI

Coefficient-wise tree-based varying coefficient regression with vcrpart

TL;DR: The tree-based TVCM algorithm and its implementation in the R package vcrpart are introduced for generalized linear models to learn whether and how the coefficients of a regression model vary by moderating variables.
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Unobservable Selection and Coefficient Stability: Theory and Validation

TL;DR: In this paper, a bounding argument was proposed to replace the coefficient movement heuristic, which is informative only if selection on observables is proportional to selection on unobservables.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Identification and estimation of treatment effects with a regression-discontinuity design

TL;DR: In this article, the authors show that identifying conditions invoked in previous applications of regression discontinuity methods are often overly strong and that treatment effects can be nonparametrically identified under an RD design by a weak functional form restriction.
Posted Content

Children and Their Parents' Labor Supply: Evidence from Exogenous Variation in Family Size

TL;DR: This paper used a new instrumental variable, the sex composition of the first two births in families with at least two children, to estimate the effect of additional children on parents' labor supply.
ReportDOI

Children and their parents labor supply: evidence from exogenous variation in family size.

TL;DR: This article used a new instrumental variable the sex composition of the first two births in families with at least two children to estimate the effect of additional children on parents labor supply in the United States, and found that married women who have a third child reduce their labor supply by as much as women in the full sample while there is no relationship between wives childbearing and husbands labor supply.
Journal ArticleDOI

The Economic Consequences of Parental Leave Mandates: Lessons from Europe

TL;DR: In this paper, the economic consequences of rights to paid parental leave in nine European countries over the 1969 through 1993 period were investigated, and most of the analysis examined how changes in paid leave affect the gap between female and male labor market outcomes.
Journal ArticleDOI

Universal Childcare, Maternal Labor Supply, and Family Well-Being

TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyze the impact of highly subsidized, universally accessible child care in Quebec, addressing the impact on child care utilization, maternal labor supply, and family well-being.
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