Open Access
Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature
TLDR
This article analyzed the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991 to 2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'.Abstract:
We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming. In a second phase of this study, we invited authors to rate their own papers. Compared to abstract ratings, a smaller percentage of self-rated papers expressed no position on AGW (35.5%). Among self-rated papers expressing a position on AGW, 97.2% endorsed the consensus. For both abstract ratings and authors' self-ratings, the percentage of endorsements among papers expressing a position on AGW marginally increased over time. Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research. 2013 Environ. Res. Lett. 8 024024read more
Citations
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Beyond Misinformation: Understanding and coping with the post-truth era
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors explore the growing abundance of misinformation, how it influences people, and how to counter it, and suggest that responses to this malaise must involve technological solutions incorporating psychological principles, an interdisciplinary approach that they describe as "technocognition".
Journal ArticleDOI
The Structure of Economic Modeling of the Potential Impacts of Climate Change: Grafting Gross Underestimation of Risk onto Already Narrow Science Models
TL;DR: A new generation of models is needed in all three of climate science, impact and economics with a still stronger focus on lives and livelihoods, including the risks of large-scale migration and conflicts as mentioned in this paper.
Journal ArticleDOI
Neutralizing misinformation through inoculation: Exposing misleading argumentation techniques reduces their influence
TL;DR: It was found that inoculating messages that explain the flawed argumentation technique used in the misinformation or that highlight the scientific consensus on climate change were effective in neutralizing those adverse effects of misinformation.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change as a Gateway Belief: Experimental Evidence
TL;DR: It is found that perceived scientific agreement is an important gateway belief, ultimately influencing public responses to climate change.
Posted Content
Climate-Science Communication and the Measurement Problem
TL;DR: This article examined the science-of-science communication measurement problem and found that there is little disagreement among culturally diverse citizens on what science knows about climate change, and that the source of the climate change controversy and like disputes is the contamination of education and politics with forms of cultural status competition that make it impossible for diverse citizens to express their reason as both collective-knowledge acquirers and cultural-identity protectors at the same time.
References
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Beyond Misinformation: Understanding and coping with the post-truth era
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors explore the growing abundance of misinformation, how it influences people, and how to counter it, and suggest that responses to this malaise must involve technological solutions incorporating psychological principles, an interdisciplinary approach that they describe as "technocognition".
Journal ArticleDOI
The Structure of Economic Modeling of the Potential Impacts of Climate Change: Grafting Gross Underestimation of Risk onto Already Narrow Science Models
TL;DR: A new generation of models is needed in all three of climate science, impact and economics with a still stronger focus on lives and livelihoods, including the risks of large-scale migration and conflicts as mentioned in this paper.
Journal ArticleDOI
Neutralizing misinformation through inoculation: Exposing misleading argumentation techniques reduces their influence
TL;DR: It was found that inoculating messages that explain the flawed argumentation technique used in the misinformation or that highlight the scientific consensus on climate change were effective in neutralizing those adverse effects of misinformation.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change as a Gateway Belief: Experimental Evidence
TL;DR: It is found that perceived scientific agreement is an important gateway belief, ultimately influencing public responses to climate change.
Posted Content
Climate-Science Communication and the Measurement Problem
TL;DR: This article examined the science-of-science communication measurement problem and found that there is little disagreement among culturally diverse citizens on what science knows about climate change, and that the source of the climate change controversy and like disputes is the contamination of education and politics with forms of cultural status competition that make it impossible for diverse citizens to express their reason as both collective-knowledge acquirers and cultural-identity protectors at the same time.