Open AccessDissertation
Relationship between money growth and inflation : Empirical evidence from Nigeria
TLDR
In this article, the authors examined the relationship between money growth and inflation in Nigeria using cointegration and causality analysis and found that in the long run, money supply growth has significant and positive relationship with inflation while lagged value of money-supply growth has negative and insignificant relationships with inflation in the short run.Abstract:
This study examines the relationship between money growth and inflation in Nigeria using cointegration and causality analysis. The study used annual time series data from 1970 to 2012, Johansen cointegration approach, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger causality test are used to identify long run relationship, the short run dynamic and causal relationship among the variables respectively. The empirical results confirm that in the long run money supply growth has significant and positive relationship with inflation while lagged value of money supply growth has negative and insignificant relationship with inflation in the short run. Moreover, the causality test result reveals that money supply growth has unidirectional causal relationship with inflation, the causal relationship runs from money supply growth to inflation. However,
interest rates and import have positive and significant relationship with inflation but
exchange rates and GDP have negative and significant relationship with inflation in the
long run. In the short run lagged GDP variable has significant and positive relationship with inflation, lagged import variable and lagged interest rate variable have significant and negative relationship with inflation, while lagged of exchange rate variable has
insignificant and negative relationship with inflation in the short run. Moreover, the
causality test result reveals that exchange rate, interest rates and GDP variable have
unidirectional, bidirectional and no causal relationship with inflation, respectively. The
study concludes that for maintaining price stability and minimum rate of inflation,
Nigeria needs to reduce money supply growth, improve GDP, reduce interest rate and impose strong import restrictions measures as well as exchange rate depreciation along with import substitution strategy.read more
Citations
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Money, Inflation, and Growth in Pakistan
TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigate the linkage between the excess money supply growth and inflation in Pakistan and to test the validity of the monetarist stance that inflation is a monetary phenomenon, and the results from the correlation analysis indicate that there is a positive association between money growth and the inflation.
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Achieving Price Stability in Nigeria: Monetary Policy Rate Approach vs. Foreign Exchange Policy Approach
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References
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Journal ArticleDOI
Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing
TL;DR: The relationship between co-integration and error correction models, first suggested in Granger (1981), is here extended and used to develop estimation procedures, tests, and empirical examples.
Journal ArticleDOI
Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root
David A. Dickey,Wayne A. Fuller +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the limit distributions of the estimator of p and of the regression t test are derived under the assumption that p = ± 1, where p is a fixed constant and t is a sequence of independent normal random variables.
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Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root
David A. Dickey,Wayne A. Fuller +1 more
Journal ArticleDOI
Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration — with applications to the demand for money
Søren Johansen,Katarina Juselius +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the estimation and testing of long-run relations in economic modeling are addressed, starting with a vector autoregressive (VAR) model, the hypothesis of cointegration is formulated as a hypothesis of reduced rank of the long run impact matrix.