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Journal ArticleDOI

Robustness and Optimality as Criteria for Strategic Decisions

TLDR
In this paper, the authors discuss the nature of the problem situations for which alternative decision criteria are more appropriate than optimality as an operational research criterion and develop a measure of the flexibility which an initial decision of a plan maintains for achieving near-optimal states in conditions of uncertainty.
Abstract
The use of "optimality" as an operational research criterion is insufficiently discriminating. Ample evidence exists that for many problems simple optimization (particularly profit maximization) does not represent the aims of management. In this paper we discuss the nature of the problem situations for which alternative decision criteria are more appropriate. In particular the structure of strategic planning problems is analysed. The provisional commitment involved in a plan (in contrast to the irrevocable commitment of a decision) leads to the development of a particular criterion, robustness—a measure of the flexibility which an initial decision of a plan maintains for achieving near-optimal states in conditions of uncertainty. The robustness concept is developed through the case study of a sequential factory location problem.

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Posted Content

Flexibility in Manufacturing: A Survey

TL;DR: A survey of the literature on flexibility in manufacturing can be found in this article, where several kinds of flexibilities in manufacturing are defined carefully along with their purposes, the means to obtain them, and some suggested measurements and valuations.
Journal ArticleDOI

Flexibility in Manufacturing: A Survey

TL;DR: A survey of the literature on flexibility in manufacturing can be found in this article, where several kinds of flexibilities in manufacturing are defined carefully along with their purposes, the means to obtain them, and some suggested measurements and valuations.
Journal ArticleDOI

Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world

TL;DR: The Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways approach is illustrated by producing an adaptive plan for long-term water management of the Rhine Delta in the Netherlands that takes into account the deep uncertainties about the future arising from social, political, technological, economic, and climate changes.
Journal ArticleDOI

Facility Location Under Uncertainty: A Review

TL;DR: A review of the literature on stochastic and robust facility location models can be found in this article, where the authors illustrate both the rich variety of approaches for optimization under uncertainty and their application to facility location problems.
BookDOI

Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative Long-Term Policy Analysis

TL;DR: In this article, a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA) is presented, which enables decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them.
References
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Book

The New Industrial State

TL;DR: The new industrial state, The new industrial states, this article, is a state of the new industrial world, which is the industrial state of Iran, in which all goods and services must be exported.
Book ChapterDOI

Theories of Decision-Making in Economics and Behavioural Science

TL;DR: For example, the authors argue that if economics is able to find verifiable and verified generalisations about human economic behaviour, then these generalisations must have a place in the more general theories of human behaviour to which psychology and sociology aspire.
Journal ArticleDOI

The New Industrial State

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