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Tests of Monetary and Portfolio Balance Models of Exchange Rate Determination

Jeffrey A. Frankel
- pp 239-260
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The article was published on 1984-01-01 and is currently open access. It has received 68 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Balance (accounting) & Exchange rate.

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Book ChapterDOI

Monetary and Portfolio-Balance Models of Exchange Rate Determination

TL;DR: A survey of empirical models of the 1970s, published in Economic Interdependence and Flexible Exchange Rates, edited by J. Bhandari (M.I.T. Press: Cambridge), in 1983, is here supplemented with a brief epilogue to update the literature to 1987 as mentioned in this paper.
Journal ArticleDOI

Banking on currency forecasts: How predictable is change in money?

TL;DR: This article examined the predictive performance of four structural exchange rate models using both parametric and nonparametric techniques and found that error correction terms can explain exchange rate movements significantly better than a no change forecast for a subset of the models and currencies.
Journal ArticleDOI

Currency Fluctuations in the Post-Bretton Woods Era

TL;DR: The authors showed that even after-the-fact forecasts that use actual values (instead of forecasted values) of the explanatory variables cannot explain major currency movements over the post-Bretton Woods era.
Journal ArticleDOI

Perspectives on the recent currency crisis literature

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors used the Generalised Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (GJLS) model to diagnose the size of rational speculative bubble in Hong Kong stock market during global economic crisis 2008.
Journal ArticleDOI

Multi-country evidence on the behavior of purchasing power parity under the current float

TL;DR: This article showed that the real exchange rates of these countries can be characterized as mean-reverting, implying a close to one-to-one relation between average rates of growth of nominal exchange rates and average inflation differentials.
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