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The cost of using exact confidence intervals for a binomial proportion

Måns Thulin
- 01 Jan 2014 - 
- Vol. 8, Iss: 1, pp 817-840
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TLDR
In this article, the authors investigate the cost of using the exact one and two-sided Clopper-Pearson confidence intervals rather than shorter approximate intervals, first in terms of increased expected length and then the increase in sample size required to obtain a desired expected length.
Abstract
When computing a confidence interval for a binomial proportion $p$ one must choose between using an exact interval, which has a coverage probability of at least $1-\alpha$ for all values of $p$, and a shorter approximate interval, which may have lower coverage for some $p$ but that on average has coverage equal to $1-\alpha$. We investigate the cost of using the exact one and two-sided Clopper–Pearson confidence intervals rather than shorter approximate intervals, first in terms of increased expected length and then in terms of the increase in sample size required to obtain a desired expected length. Using asymptotic expansions, we also give a closed-form formula for determining the sample size for the exact Clopper–Pearson methods. For two-sided intervals, our investigation reveals an interesting connection between the frequentist Clopper–Pearson interval and Bayesian intervals based on noninformative priors.

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References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Probable Inference, the Law of Succession, and Statistical Inference

TL;DR: In this article, Probable Inference, the Law of Succession, and Statistical Inference are discussed, with a focus on the law of succession in probabilistic inference.
Journal ArticleDOI

Interval Estimation for a Binomial Proportion

TL;DR: In this paper, the problem of interval estimation of a binomial proportion is revisited, and a number of natural alternatives are presented, each with its motivation and con- text, each interval is examined for its coverage probability and its length.
Journal ArticleDOI

Hormonal receptor, human epidermal growth factor receptor-2, and Ki67 discordance between primary breast cancer and paired metastases: clinical impact.

TL;DR: Changes in the cell biology of breast cancer metastasis would seem to occur and biopsy could potentially guide the choice of treatment and provide useful information on prognosis.
Journal ArticleDOI

Bayesian Sample Size Determination for Binomial Proportions

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present several new results on Bayesian sample size determination for estimating binomial proportions, and provide a comprehensive com- parative overview of the subject.
Journal ArticleDOI

Some Properties of the Exact and Score Methods for Binomial Proportion and Sample Size Calculation

TL;DR: Some interesting relations between the exact test and the score test for a binomial proportion p are pointed out and approximate as well as exact methods of computing sample sizes required for the tests to attain a specified power are proposed.
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